CC International Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

352480 Stock   37,900  550.00  1.43%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CC International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37,947 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,318 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79,056. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast CC International's stock prices and determine the direction of CC International Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CC International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for CC International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

CC International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CC International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 37,947 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,318, mean absolute percentage error of 2,939,627, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79,056.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 352480 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CC International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CC International Stock Forecast Pattern

CC International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CC International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CC International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37,943 and 37,951, respectively. We have considered CC International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37,900
37,943
Downside
37,947
Expected Value
37,951
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CC International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CC International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 248.4654
MADMean absolute deviation1317.5999
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0325
SAESum of the absolute errors79055.9966
When CC International Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any CC International Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent CC International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for CC International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CC International Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CC International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CC International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CC International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CC International Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for CC International

For every potential investor in 352480, whether a beginner or expert, CC International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 352480 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 352480. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CC International's price trends.

CC International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CC International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CC International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CC International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CC International Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CC International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CC International's current price.

CC International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CC International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CC International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CC International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CC International Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CC International Risk Indicators

The analysis of CC International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CC International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 352480 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with CC International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CC International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CC International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against 352480 Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to CC International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CC International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CC International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CC International Corp to buy it.
The correlation of CC International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CC International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CC International Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CC International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching