Maire Tecnimont Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 3OY1 Stock | EUR 15.20 0.03 0.20% |
Maire Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Maire Tecnimont's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Maire Tecnimont's share price is above 70 as of 25th of February 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Maire, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.447 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 |
Using Maire Tecnimont hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maire Tecnimont SpA from the perspective of Maire Tecnimont response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maire Tecnimont SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.99. Maire Tecnimont after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Maire |
Maire Tecnimont Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Maire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Maire Tecnimont Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maire Tecnimont SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maire Tecnimont's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Maire Tecnimont Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Maire Tecnimont | Maire Tecnimont Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Maire Tecnimont Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Maire Tecnimont's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maire Tecnimont's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.33 and 17.07, respectively. We have considered Maire Tecnimont's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maire Tecnimont stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maire Tecnimont stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6672 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0518 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1999 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.9947 |
Predictive Modules for Maire Tecnimont
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maire Tecnimont SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maire Tecnimont After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Maire Tecnimont at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maire Tecnimont or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maire Tecnimont, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Maire Tecnimont Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Maire Tecnimont's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maire Tecnimont's historical news coverage. Maire Tecnimont's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.44 and 17.18, respectively. We have considered Maire Tecnimont's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Maire Tecnimont is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maire Tecnimont SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Maire Tecnimont Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maire Tecnimont is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maire Tecnimont backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maire Tecnimont, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.87 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.20 | 15.31 | 0.72 |
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Maire Tecnimont Hype Timeline
Maire Tecnimont SpA is presently traded for 15.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Maire is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Maire Tecnimont is about 930.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.28. The company reported the revenue of 5.86 B. Net Income was 198.68 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.34 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maire Tecnimont to cross-verify your projections.Maire Tecnimont Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Maire Tecnimont's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maire Tecnimont's future price movements. Getting to know how Maire Tecnimont's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maire Tecnimont may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ90 | BK MANDIRI ADR20 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.00 | 0.04 | 11.49 | (9.09) | 42.92 | |
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 6.01 | 0.07 | 18.18 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | (0.01) | 1 per month | 3.96 | 0.02 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| 6GAA | Grupo Aval Acciones | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.17 | 0 | 5.31 | (4.10) | 20.33 | |
| KSF1 | SHINHAN FINL ADR1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.13 | 5.33 | (3.37) | 11.97 | |
| KBIA | KB Financial Group | (0.50) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.17 | 4.81 | (2.67) | 11.24 | |
| LFL0 | LATAM Airlines Group | (1.00) | 5 per month | 2.22 | 0.11 | 3.85 | (4.39) | 13.43 | |
| 2WGA | WOORI FIN GRP | 2.80 | 3 per month | 2.31 | 0.15 | 5.88 | (3.73) | 19.36 | |
| BSA | Banco Santander Chile | 0.80 | 8 per month | 2.72 | 0.07 | 4.38 | (4.51) | 14.55 | |
| JSE | Japan Securities Finance | (0.1) | 7 per month | 1.11 | 0.18 | 2.75 | (1.87) | 7.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Maire Tecnimont
For every potential investor in Maire, whether a beginner or expert, Maire Tecnimont's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maire Tecnimont's price trends.Maire Tecnimont Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maire Tecnimont stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maire Tecnimont could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maire Tecnimont by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Maire Tecnimont Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maire Tecnimont stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maire Tecnimont shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maire Tecnimont stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maire Tecnimont SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Maire Tecnimont Risk Indicators
The analysis of Maire Tecnimont's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maire Tecnimont's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Maire Tecnimont
The number of cover stories for Maire Tecnimont depends on current market conditions and Maire Tecnimont's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maire Tecnimont is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maire Tecnimont's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Maire Stock
Maire Tecnimont financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maire with respect to the benefits of owning Maire Tecnimont security.