BOYD GROUP Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3YT Stock  EUR 137.00  2.00  1.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BOYD GROUP SERVICES on the next trading day is expected to be 131.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.25. BOYD Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BOYD GROUP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for BOYD GROUP is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BOYD GROUP SERVICES value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BOYD GROUP Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BOYD GROUP SERVICES on the next trading day is expected to be 131.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 5.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOYD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BOYD GROUP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BOYD GROUP Stock Forecast Pattern

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BOYD GROUP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BOYD GROUP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BOYD GROUP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 129.77 and 132.60, respectively. We have considered BOYD GROUP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
137.00
129.77
Downside
131.19
Expected Value
132.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BOYD GROUP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BOYD GROUP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7296
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7255
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0121
SAESum of the absolute errors105.2529
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BOYD GROUP SERVICES. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BOYD GROUP. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BOYD GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOYD GROUP SERVICES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
135.58137.00138.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.02133.44150.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
135.99143.50151.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BOYD GROUP

For every potential investor in BOYD, whether a beginner or expert, BOYD GROUP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BOYD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BOYD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BOYD GROUP's price trends.

BOYD GROUP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BOYD GROUP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BOYD GROUP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BOYD GROUP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BOYD GROUP SERVICES Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BOYD GROUP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BOYD GROUP's current price.

BOYD GROUP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BOYD GROUP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BOYD GROUP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BOYD GROUP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BOYD GROUP SERVICES entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BOYD GROUP Risk Indicators

The analysis of BOYD GROUP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BOYD GROUP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting boyd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in BOYD Stock

BOYD GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether BOYD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BOYD with respect to the benefits of owning BOYD GROUP security.