Team Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

4967 Stock  TWD 225.50  20.50  10.00%   
Team Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Team's stock price is slightly above 67. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Team, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Team's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Team and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Team's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Team Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Team hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Team Group from the perspective of Team response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Team Group on the next trading day is expected to be 205.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 912.74.

Team after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 205.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Team to cross-verify your projections.

Team Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Team price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Team using various technical indicators. When you analyze Team charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Team price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Team Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Team Group on the next trading day is expected to be 205.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.96, mean absolute percentage error of 275.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 912.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Team Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Team's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Team Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Team  Team Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Team Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Team's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Team's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 200.88 and 209.49, respectively. We have considered Team's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
225.50
200.88
Downside
205.19
Expected Value
209.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Team stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Team stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.7285
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation14.9629
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0993
SAESum of the absolute errors912.7398
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Team Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Team

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Team Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
200.69205.00209.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.61157.92225.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
152.96191.17229.38
Details

Team After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Team at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Team or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Team, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Team Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Team's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Team's historical news coverage. Team's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 200.69 and 209.31, respectively. We have considered Team's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
225.50
200.69
Downside
205.00
After-hype Price
209.31
Upside
Team is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Team Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Team Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Team is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Team backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Team, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.82 
4.31
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
225.50
205.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Team Hype Timeline

Team Group is presently traded for 225.50on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Team is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.82%. %. The volatility of related hype on Team is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 225.50. About 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Team Group recorded a loss per share of 2.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The firm had 700:1000 split on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Team to cross-verify your projections.

Team Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Team's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Team's future price movements. Getting to know how Team's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Team may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Team

For every potential investor in Team, whether a beginner or expert, Team's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Team Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Team. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Team's price trends.

Team Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Team stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Team could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Team by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Team Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Team stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Team shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Team stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Team Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Team Risk Indicators

The analysis of Team's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Team's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting team stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Team

The number of cover stories for Team depends on current market conditions and Team's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Team is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Team's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Team Stock Analysis

When running Team's price analysis, check to measure Team's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Team is operating at the current time. Most of Team's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Team's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Team's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Team to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.