Elitegroup Computer (Taiwan) Price Prediction

2331 Stock  TWD 27.40  0.25  0.90%   
At this time, The value of RSI of Elitegroup Computer's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Elitegroup Computer, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Elitegroup Computer's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Elitegroup Computer and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Elitegroup Computer's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Elitegroup Computer Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Elitegroup Computer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elitegroup Computer Systems from the perspective of Elitegroup Computer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Elitegroup Computer to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Elitegroup because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Elitegroup Computer after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 27.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Elitegroup Computer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.4126.0729.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2429.9033.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0724.1629.24
Details

Elitegroup Computer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Elitegroup Computer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Elitegroup Computer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Elitegroup Computer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Elitegroup Computer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Elitegroup Computer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Elitegroup Computer's historical news coverage. Elitegroup Computer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.74 and 31.06, respectively. We have considered Elitegroup Computer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.40
27.40
After-hype Price
31.06
Upside
Elitegroup Computer is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Elitegroup Computer is based on 3 months time horizon.

Elitegroup Computer Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Elitegroup Computer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Elitegroup Computer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Elitegroup Computer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
3.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.40
27.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Elitegroup Computer Hype Timeline

Elitegroup Computer is presently traded for 27.40on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Elitegroup is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Elitegroup Computer is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.40. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Elitegroup Computer has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 414.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2021. The firm had 0:1 split on the 7th of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Elitegroup Computer Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Elitegroup Computer Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Elitegroup Computer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Elitegroup Computer's future price movements. Getting to know how Elitegroup Computer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Elitegroup Computer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8234NEXCOM International Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.28 (3.21) 10.20 
6245Lanner Electronics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.62 (2.52) 11.65 
3022IEI Integration Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.41 (2.31) 8.53 
8163Darfon Electronics Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.59 (2.84) 12.96 
3032Compucase Enterprise Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.09 (3.93) 14.33 
8050IBASE Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.31 (2.16) 6.77 
4967Team Group 0.00 0 per month 3.28  0.17  8.76 (5.68) 17.00 
6166ADLINK Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.38  0.02  4.09 (2.82) 14.96 
4977PCL Technologies 0.00 0 per month 2.93  0.01  6.19 (5.00) 17.66 
6173Prosperity Dielectrics Co 0.00 0 per month 2.61  0.09  6.47 (4.83) 15.56 

Elitegroup Computer Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Elitegroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elitegroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elitegroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Elitegroup Computer Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Elitegroup Computer stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Elitegroup Computer Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Elitegroup Computer based on analysis of Elitegroup Computer hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Elitegroup Computer's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Elitegroup Computer's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Elitegroup Stock Analysis

When running Elitegroup Computer's price analysis, check to measure Elitegroup Computer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elitegroup Computer is operating at the current time. Most of Elitegroup Computer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elitegroup Computer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elitegroup Computer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elitegroup Computer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.