Wharf Real Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| 4WF Stock | EUR 2.96 0.12 4.23% |
Wharf Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wharf Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Wharf Real's stock price is roughly 64. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wharf, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Wharf Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wharf Real Estate from the perspective of Wharf Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wharf Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 2.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.92. Wharf Real after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wharf |
Wharf Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wharf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wharf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wharf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wharf Real Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wharf Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 2.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wharf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wharf Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wharf Real Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wharf Real | Wharf Real Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wharf Real Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wharf Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wharf Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.53 and 5.39, respectively. We have considered Wharf Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wharf Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wharf Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.0691 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0122 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0495 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.92 |
Predictive Modules for Wharf Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wharf Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wharf Real After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wharf Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wharf Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wharf Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wharf Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wharf Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wharf Real's historical news coverage. Wharf Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.53 and 5.39, respectively. We have considered Wharf Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wharf Real is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wharf Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wharf Real Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wharf Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wharf Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wharf Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.96 | 2.96 | 0.00 |
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Wharf Real Hype Timeline
Wharf Real Estate is presently traded for 2.96on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Wharf is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wharf Real is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.96. About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Wharf Real Estate has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wharf Real to cross-verify your projections.Wharf Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wharf Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wharf Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Wharf Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wharf Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WN6 | CarsalesCom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.11 | (2.86) | 6.23 | |
| FWQ | MOUNT GIBSON IRON | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.22 | 0.02 | 5.56 | (7.69) | 24.00 | |
| MNL | MUTUIONLINE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.03 | (2.68) | 8.94 | |
| G03 | GungHo Online Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.20 | (4.23) | 10.68 | |
| BC3 | BC IRON | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.82 | 0.08 | 5.00 | (4.76) | 9.76 | |
| FX3 | Flexsteel Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.57 | 0.02 | 6.21 | (3.59) | 32.35 | |
| 26Y | YATRA ONLINE DL 0001 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.37 | 0.01 | 9.60 | (7.58) | 18.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wharf Real
For every potential investor in Wharf, whether a beginner or expert, Wharf Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wharf Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wharf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wharf Real's price trends.Wharf Real Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wharf Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wharf Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wharf Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wharf Real Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wharf Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wharf Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wharf Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wharf Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 64.29 |
Wharf Real Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wharf Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wharf Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wharf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wharf Real
The number of cover stories for Wharf Real depends on current market conditions and Wharf Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wharf Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wharf Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Wharf Stock
Wharf Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wharf Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wharf with respect to the benefits of owning Wharf Real security.