American Public Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| 51A Stock | EUR 38.40 0.40 1.05% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of American Public's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of American Public's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Public, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.5 | Wall Street Target Price 36.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
Using American Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Public Education from the perspective of American Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of American Public Education on the next trading day is expected to be 38.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.67. American Public after-hype prediction price | EUR 38.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
American Public Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Public Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of American Public Education on the next trading day is expected to be 38.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Public Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Public | American Public Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
American Public Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.37 and 40.62, respectively. We have considered American Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6075 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.667 |
Predictive Modules for American Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Public Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Public After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Public's historical news coverage. American Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.98 and 40.26, respectively. We have considered American Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Public is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Public Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Public Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.13 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
38.40 | 38.12 | 0.73 |
|
American Public Hype Timeline
American Public Education is presently traded for 38.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. American is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on American Public is about 830.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.29. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of American Public was presently reported as 13.12. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. American Public Education had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Public to cross-verify your projections.American Public Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Public's future price movements. Getting to know how American Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKDA | Takeda Pharmaceutical | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.57 | 0.22 | 2.78 | (1.44) | 5.52 | |
| GE9 | Genmab AS | (2.60) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.73 | (3.42) | 9.60 | |
| CLN | The City of | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.12 | 0.09 | 2.97 | (2.21) | 6.15 | |
| 2U4 | HICL Infrastructure PLC | 0.00 | 5 per month | 1.43 | 0.05 | 3.79 | (3.10) | 13.01 | |
| R7I | RENEWABLES INFRASTRUCTURE | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.80 | (3.61) | 11.13 | |
| 5QG | NEW FOUND GOLD | (0.02) | 5 per month | 4.68 | 0.08 | 11.93 | (7.97) | 40.57 | |
| 2HZ | Odyssean Investment Trust | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 2.21 | (1.96) | 5.63 | |
| 14D | tokentus investment AG | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.21 | (6.25) | 56.92 | |
| GE0 | GRAYCLIFF EXPLORATION LTD | 0.01 | 3 per month | 18.30 | 0.16 | 35.42 | (23.45) | 1,837 | |
| 3SR | REVOLVER RES | 0.00 | 2 per month | 18.09 | 0.13 | 82.61 | (38.10) | 136.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Public
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Public's price trends.American Public Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Public Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Public Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Public Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Public
The number of cover stories for American Public depends on current market conditions and American Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Public to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.