GOLDGROUP MINING Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| 55G0 Stock | 1.22 0.09 7.96% |
GOLDGROUP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GOLDGROUP MINING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of GOLDGROUP MINING's stock price is roughly 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GOLDGROUP, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using GOLDGROUP MINING hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GOLDGROUP MINING INC from the perspective of GOLDGROUP MINING response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GOLDGROUP MINING INC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.00. GOLDGROUP MINING after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GOLDGROUP |
GOLDGROUP MINING Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GOLDGROUP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GOLDGROUP using various technical indicators. When you analyze GOLDGROUP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GOLDGROUP MINING Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GOLDGROUP MINING INC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GOLDGROUP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GOLDGROUP MINING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GOLDGROUP MINING Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GOLDGROUP MINING | GOLDGROUP MINING Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GOLDGROUP MINING Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GOLDGROUP MINING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GOLDGROUP MINING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.91, respectively. We have considered GOLDGROUP MINING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GOLDGROUP MINING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GOLDGROUP MINING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.1148 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0103 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0339 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0386 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0 |
Predictive Modules for GOLDGROUP MINING
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GOLDGROUP MINING INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GOLDGROUP MINING After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GOLDGROUP MINING at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GOLDGROUP MINING or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GOLDGROUP MINING, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GOLDGROUP MINING Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GOLDGROUP MINING's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GOLDGROUP MINING's historical news coverage. GOLDGROUP MINING's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.95, respectively. We have considered GOLDGROUP MINING's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GOLDGROUP MINING is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GOLDGROUP MINING INC is based on 3 months time horizon.
GOLDGROUP MINING Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GOLDGROUP MINING is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GOLDGROUP MINING backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GOLDGROUP MINING, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.87 | 4.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.22 | 1.22 | 0.00 |
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GOLDGROUP MINING Hype Timeline
GOLDGROUP MINING INC is presently traded for 1.22on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GOLDGROUP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.87%. %. The volatility of related hype on GOLDGROUP MINING is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.22. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GOLDGROUP MINING to cross-verify your projections.GOLDGROUP MINING Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GOLDGROUP MINING's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GOLDGROUP MINING's future price movements. Getting to know how GOLDGROUP MINING's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GOLDGROUP MINING may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GI4 | G III Apparel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | (0.02) | 3.91 | (3.34) | 9.13 | |
| KDIC | Kingdee International Software | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.26 | (4.24) | 19.66 | |
| HNM | ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 3.11 | (2.36) | 8.89 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 3.03 | (2.53) | 6.66 | |
| UT8 | Uber Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.69 | (3.86) | 9.05 | |
| SGM | STMicroelectronics NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.03 | 5.82 | (3.61) | 12.41 | |
| 74E | Evertz Technologies Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.16 | 2.40 | (1.75) | 12.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for GOLDGROUP MINING
For every potential investor in GOLDGROUP, whether a beginner or expert, GOLDGROUP MINING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GOLDGROUP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GOLDGROUP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GOLDGROUP MINING's price trends.GOLDGROUP MINING Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GOLDGROUP MINING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GOLDGROUP MINING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GOLDGROUP MINING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GOLDGROUP MINING Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GOLDGROUP MINING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GOLDGROUP MINING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GOLDGROUP MINING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GOLDGROUP MINING INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.22 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.045 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.39 |
GOLDGROUP MINING Risk Indicators
The analysis of GOLDGROUP MINING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GOLDGROUP MINING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goldgroup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Variance | 27.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GOLDGROUP MINING
The number of cover stories for GOLDGROUP MINING depends on current market conditions and GOLDGROUP MINING's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GOLDGROUP MINING is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GOLDGROUP MINING's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in GOLDGROUP Stock
GOLDGROUP MINING financial ratios help investors to determine whether GOLDGROUP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GOLDGROUP with respect to the benefits of owning GOLDGROUP MINING security.