WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Stock Forward View

5WS Stock  EUR 6.10  0.05  0.83%   
WATCHOSWITZGRLS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's stock price is roughly 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling WATCHOSWITZGRLS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.566
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Using WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 from the perspective of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 on the next trading day is expected to be 6.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.19.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 5.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 to cross-verify your projections.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WATCHOSWITZGRLS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WATCHOSWITZGRLS using various technical indicators. When you analyze WATCHOSWITZGRLS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 on the next trading day is expected to be 6.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WATCHOSWITZGRLS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125  WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.99 and 9.22, respectively. We have considered WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.10
6.11
Expected Value
9.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2229
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.116
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0214
SAESum of the absolute errors7.1927
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.855.969.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.646.759.86
Details

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's historical news coverage. WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.85 and 9.07, respectively. We have considered WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.10
5.96
After-hype Price
9.07
Upside
WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is based on 3 months time horizon.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
3.11
  0.14 
  0.09 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.10
5.96
2.30 
1,244  
Notes

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Hype Timeline

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is presently traded for 6.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. WATCHOSWITZGRLS is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -2.3%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is about 1913.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.19. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.99. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 to cross-verify your projections.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's future price movements. Getting to know how WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IE2AInternet Thailand PCL 0.00 4 per month 1.05  0.03  3.41 (2.26) 6.48 
6ICIridium Communications(1.10)7 per month 2.93  0.04  4.81 (4.55) 14.07 
UTDIUnited Internet AG 0.70 9 per month 2.07 (0.03) 3.01 (3.30) 8.89 
VTE1ASURE SOFTWARE(0.30)7 per month 1.29  0.06  4.23 (2.88) 16.49 
WA4Warner Music Group(0.53)11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.01 (2.71) 9.69 
IQ3GMO Internet 0.00 4 per month 1.33  0.02  3.81 (2.78) 16.67 
MNKMinerals Technologies 2.50 9 per month 1.65  0.10  3.77 (3.24) 8.43 
ISHAINTERSHOP Communications Aktiengesellschaft 0.03 3 per month 2.55  0.06  6.35 (5.22) 17.08 

Other Forecasting Options for WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125

For every potential investor in WATCHOSWITZGRLS, whether a beginner or expert, WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WATCHOSWITZGRLS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WATCHOSWITZGRLS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's price trends.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 Risk Indicators

The analysis of WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting watchoswitzgrls stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125

The number of cover stories for WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 depends on current market conditions and WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in WATCHOSWITZGRLS Stock

WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 financial ratios help investors to determine whether WATCHOSWITZGRLS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WATCHOSWITZGRLS with respect to the benefits of owning WATCHOSWITZGRLS 0125 security.