Tianjin Hi Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

600082 Stock   2.99  0.02  0.66%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tianjin Hi Tech Development on the next trading day is expected to be 2.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55. Tianjin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tianjin Hi stock prices and determine the direction of Tianjin Hi Tech Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tianjin Hi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Tianjin Hi's Cash is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Receivables is expected to grow to about 177.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.6 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Tianjin Hi is based on an artificially constructed time series of Tianjin Hi daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Tianjin Hi 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tianjin Hi Tech Development on the next trading day is expected to be 2.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tianjin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tianjin Hi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tianjin Hi Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tianjin Hi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tianjin Hi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tianjin Hi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.80, respectively. We have considered Tianjin Hi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.99
2.96
Expected Value
6.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tianjin Hi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tianjin Hi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.8257
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0865
MADMean absolute deviation0.1235
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0469
SAESum of the absolute errors6.5463
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Tianjin Hi Tech Development 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Tianjin Hi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tianjin Hi Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.056.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.326.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tianjin Hi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tianjin Hi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tianjin Hi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tianjin Hi Tech.

Other Forecasting Options for Tianjin Hi

For every potential investor in Tianjin, whether a beginner or expert, Tianjin Hi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tianjin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tianjin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tianjin Hi's price trends.

Tianjin Hi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tianjin Hi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tianjin Hi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tianjin Hi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tianjin Hi Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tianjin Hi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tianjin Hi's current price.

Tianjin Hi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tianjin Hi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tianjin Hi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tianjin Hi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tianjin Hi Tech Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tianjin Hi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tianjin Hi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tianjin Hi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tianjin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Tianjin Stock

Tianjin Hi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tianjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tianjin with respect to the benefits of owning Tianjin Hi security.