Shanghai Broadband Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

600608 Stock   4.04  0.11  2.65%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Broadband Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.00. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Broadband stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Broadband Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Broadband's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shanghai Broadband's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory is expected to grow to about 56.8 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 148.7 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for Shanghai Broadband - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Shanghai Broadband prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Shanghai Broadband price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Shanghai Broadband.

Shanghai Broadband Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shanghai Broadband Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 4.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Broadband's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Broadband Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai Broadband Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Broadband's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Broadband's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.41 and 6.75, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Broadband's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.04
4.08
Expected Value
6.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Broadband stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Broadband stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0163
MADMean absolute deviation0.0667
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0215
SAESum of the absolute errors4.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Shanghai Broadband observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Shanghai Broadband Technology observations.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Broadband

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Broadband. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.524.156.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.113.746.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Broadband

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Broadband's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Broadband's price trends.

Shanghai Broadband Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Broadband stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Broadband could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Broadband by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Broadband Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai Broadband's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai Broadband's current price.

Shanghai Broadband Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Broadband stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Broadband shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Broadband stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Broadband Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Broadband Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Broadband's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Broadband's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Broadband financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Broadband security.