360 Security Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

601360 Stock   13.40  0.69  5.43%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 360 Security Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 13.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.83. 360 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 360 Security stock prices and determine the direction of 360 Security Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 360 Security's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, 360 Security's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Receivables is expected to grow to about 2.2 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 29 B.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for 360 Security works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

360 Security Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 360 Security Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 13.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 360 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 360 Security's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

360 Security Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 360 Security360 Security Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

360 Security Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 360 Security's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 360 Security's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.59 and 18.40, respectively. We have considered 360 Security's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.40
13.49
Expected Value
18.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 360 Security stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 360 Security stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0227
MADMean absolute deviation0.3639
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0349
SAESum of the absolute errors21.8343
When 360 Security Technology prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any 360 Security Technology trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent 360 Security observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for 360 Security

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 360 Security Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4713.3718.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.3410.2415.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.7113.0815.46
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.09-0.020.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 360 Security. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 360 Security's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 360 Security's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 360 Security Technology.

Other Forecasting Options for 360 Security

For every potential investor in 360, whether a beginner or expert, 360 Security's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 360 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 360. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 360 Security's price trends.

360 Security Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 360 Security stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 360 Security could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 360 Security by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

360 Security Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 360 Security's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 360 Security's current price.

360 Security Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 360 Security stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 360 Security shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 360 Security stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 360 Security Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

360 Security Risk Indicators

The analysis of 360 Security's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 360 Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 360 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in 360 Stock

360 Security financial ratios help investors to determine whether 360 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 360 with respect to the benefits of owning 360 Security security.