Jingjin Environmental Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 603279 Stock | 19.63 0.06 0.30% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jingjin Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 18.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.57. Jingjin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jingjin Environmental stock prices and determine the direction of Jingjin Environmental Protection's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jingjin Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Jingjin |
Jingjin Environmental Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jingjin Environmental Protection on the next trading day is expected to be 18.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jingjin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jingjin Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jingjin Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern
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Jingjin Environmental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jingjin Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jingjin Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.05 and 21.58, respectively. We have considered Jingjin Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jingjin Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jingjin Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4994 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5339 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.5668 |
Predictive Modules for Jingjin Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jingjin Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Jingjin Environmental
For every potential investor in Jingjin, whether a beginner or expert, Jingjin Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jingjin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jingjin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jingjin Environmental's price trends.Jingjin Environmental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jingjin Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jingjin Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jingjin Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jingjin Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jingjin Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jingjin Environmental's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Jingjin Environmental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jingjin Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jingjin Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jingjin Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jingjin Environmental Protection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jingjin Environmental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jingjin Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jingjin Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jingjin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Jingjin Stock
Jingjin Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jingjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jingjin with respect to the benefits of owning Jingjin Environmental security.