Shanghai AtHub Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

603881 Stock   19.59  0.43  2.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shanghai AtHub Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.46. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai AtHub stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai AtHub Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai AtHub's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shanghai AtHub's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 871.6 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.6 B.
A naive forecasting model for Shanghai AtHub is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shanghai AtHub Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shanghai AtHub Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shanghai AtHub Co on the next trading day is expected to be 19.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai AtHub's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai AtHub Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai AtHub Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai AtHub's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai AtHub's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.66 and 22.74, respectively. We have considered Shanghai AtHub's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.59
19.70
Expected Value
22.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai AtHub stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai AtHub stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.75
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3682
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0219
SAESum of the absolute errors22.4588
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shanghai AtHub Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shanghai AtHub. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai AtHub

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai AtHub. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1219.1622.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1015.1421.08
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai AtHub. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai AtHub's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai AtHub's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai AtHub.

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai AtHub

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai AtHub's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai AtHub's price trends.

Shanghai AtHub Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai AtHub stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai AtHub could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai AtHub by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai AtHub Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai AtHub's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai AtHub's current price.

Shanghai AtHub Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai AtHub stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai AtHub shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai AtHub stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai AtHub Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai AtHub Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai AtHub's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai AtHub's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai AtHub financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai AtHub security.