Zhongyin Babi Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

605338 Stock   15.96  0.63  3.80%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zhongyin Babi Food on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.14. Zhongyin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zhongyin Babi stock prices and determine the direction of Zhongyin Babi Food's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zhongyin Babi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Zhongyin Babi's Accounts Payable is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash is expected to grow to about 1.1 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.4 B.
Zhongyin Babi polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Zhongyin Babi Food as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Zhongyin Babi Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zhongyin Babi Food on the next trading day is expected to be 16.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zhongyin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zhongyin Babi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zhongyin Babi Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zhongyin BabiZhongyin Babi Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zhongyin Babi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zhongyin Babi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zhongyin Babi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.30 and 18.70, respectively. We have considered Zhongyin Babi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.96
16.00
Expected Value
18.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zhongyin Babi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zhongyin Babi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.97
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4286
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors26.1423
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Zhongyin Babi historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Zhongyin Babi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhongyin Babi Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6916.4119.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3813.1017.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.8116.1417.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.220.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhongyin Babi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhongyin Babi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhongyin Babi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhongyin Babi Food.

Other Forecasting Options for Zhongyin Babi

For every potential investor in Zhongyin, whether a beginner or expert, Zhongyin Babi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zhongyin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zhongyin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zhongyin Babi's price trends.

Zhongyin Babi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zhongyin Babi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zhongyin Babi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zhongyin Babi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zhongyin Babi Food Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zhongyin Babi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zhongyin Babi's current price.

Zhongyin Babi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zhongyin Babi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zhongyin Babi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zhongyin Babi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zhongyin Babi Food entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zhongyin Babi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zhongyin Babi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zhongyin Babi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zhongyin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Zhongyin Stock

Zhongyin Babi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhongyin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhongyin with respect to the benefits of owning Zhongyin Babi security.