Guangzhou Risong Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

688090 Stock   37.75  0.48  1.26%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Guangzhou Risong Intelligent on the next trading day is expected to be 37.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 223.45. Guangzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Guangzhou Risong stock prices and determine the direction of Guangzhou Risong Intelligent's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guangzhou Risong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Guangzhou Risong's Other Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 11.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.5 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Guangzhou Risong is based on an artificially constructed time series of Guangzhou Risong daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Guangzhou Risong 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Guangzhou Risong Intelligent on the next trading day is expected to be 37.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.22, mean absolute percentage error of 32.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 223.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangzhou Risong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guangzhou Risong Stock Forecast Pattern

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Guangzhou Risong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guangzhou Risong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangzhou Risong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.24 and 42.32, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou Risong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.75
37.78
Expected Value
42.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangzhou Risong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangzhou Risong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.8867
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.9056
MADMean absolute deviation4.2161
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0882
SAESum of the absolute errors223.4525
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Guangzhou Risong Intelligent 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Guangzhou Risong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangzhou Risong Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2137.7542.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7036.2440.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.7037.0041.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangzhou Risong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangzhou Risong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangzhou Risong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangzhou Risong Int.

Other Forecasting Options for Guangzhou Risong

For every potential investor in Guangzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Guangzhou Risong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangzhou Risong's price trends.

Guangzhou Risong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangzhou Risong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangzhou Risong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangzhou Risong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guangzhou Risong Int Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guangzhou Risong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guangzhou Risong's current price.

Guangzhou Risong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangzhou Risong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangzhou Risong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangzhou Risong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangzhou Risong Intelligent entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Guangzhou Risong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guangzhou Risong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guangzhou Risong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guangzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Guangzhou Stock

Guangzhou Risong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Guangzhou Risong security.