Jiangsu Bioperfectus Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

688399 Stock   74.74  1.26  1.66%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 77.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.47. Jiangsu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock prices and determine the direction of Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu Bioperfectus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jiangsu Bioperfectus' Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 2.6 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.3 B.
Jiangsu Bioperfectus polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 77.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15, mean absolute percentage error of 10.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu Bioperfectus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiangsu Bioperfectus Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangsu Bioperfectus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu Bioperfectus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.89 and 81.00, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Bioperfectus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
74.74
77.95
Expected Value
81.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.2675
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1528
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0267
SAESum of the absolute errors133.4724
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Jiangsu Bioperfectus historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Jiangsu Bioperfectus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu Bioperfectus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.6974.7477.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.5166.5682.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
74.3580.7987.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangsu Bioperfectus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangsu Bioperfectus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangsu Bioperfectus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangsu Bioperfectus.

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu Bioperfectus

For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu Bioperfectus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu Bioperfectus' price trends.

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Bioperfectus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Bioperfectus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangsu Bioperfectus' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangsu Bioperfectus' current price.

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu Bioperfectus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu Bioperfectus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu Bioperfectus Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangsu Bioperfectus Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangsu Bioperfectus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu Bioperfectus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Bioperfectus financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Bioperfectus security.