VIRG NATL Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| 71F Stock | 31.20 0.60 1.89% |
VIRG Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of VIRG NATL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of VIRG NATL's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VIRG NATL, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
Using VIRG NATL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VIRG NATL BANKSH from the perspective of VIRG NATL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VIRG NATL BANKSH on the next trading day is expected to be 31.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.64. VIRG NATL after-hype prediction price | EUR 31.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VIRG |
VIRG NATL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VIRG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VIRG using various technical indicators. When you analyze VIRG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VIRG NATL Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VIRG NATL BANKSH on the next trading day is expected to be 31.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VIRG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VIRG NATL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VIRG NATL Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VIRG NATL | VIRG NATL Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
VIRG NATL Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VIRG NATL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VIRG NATL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.83 and 34.57, respectively. We have considered VIRG NATL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VIRG NATL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VIRG NATL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.467 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0174 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7735 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.635 |
Predictive Modules for VIRG NATL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIRG NATL BANKSH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VIRG NATL After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VIRG NATL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VIRG NATL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VIRG NATL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VIRG NATL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VIRG NATL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VIRG NATL's historical news coverage. VIRG NATL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.75 and 34.65, respectively. We have considered VIRG NATL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VIRG NATL is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VIRG NATL BANKSH is based on 3 months time horizon.
VIRG NATL Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VIRG NATL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VIRG NATL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VIRG NATL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 3.37 | 0.02 | 1.57 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.20 | 31.20 | 0.00 |
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VIRG NATL Hype Timeline
VIRG NATL BANKSH is presently traded for 31.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.57. VIRG is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on VIRG NATL is about 23.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.77. About 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. VIRG NATL BANKSH last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VIRG NATL to cross-verify your projections.VIRG NATL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VIRG NATL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VIRG NATL's future price movements. Getting to know how VIRG NATL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VIRG NATL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 17.39 | (15.38) | 128.84 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 100.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.76 | (4.35) | 105.23 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.00 | (3.57) | 113.32 | |
| PQ9 | BANK MANDIRI | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.00 | (4.76) | 114.52 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.56 | (5.56) | 106.37 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.56 | (2.56) | 103.23 | |
| BZG2 | BANK CENTRAL ASIA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | (2.56) | 103.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for VIRG NATL
For every potential investor in VIRG, whether a beginner or expert, VIRG NATL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VIRG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VIRG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VIRG NATL's price trends.VIRG NATL Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VIRG NATL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VIRG NATL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VIRG NATL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VIRG NATL Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VIRG NATL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VIRG NATL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VIRG NATL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VIRG NATL BANKSH entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VIRG NATL Risk Indicators
The analysis of VIRG NATL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VIRG NATL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Variance | 10.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VIRG NATL
The number of cover stories for VIRG NATL depends on current market conditions and VIRG NATL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VIRG NATL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VIRG NATL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VIRG NATL Short Properties
VIRG NATL's future price predictability will typically decrease when VIRG NATL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VIRG NATL BANKSH often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VIRG NATL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VIRG NATL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0452 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.2 | |
| Shares Float | 4.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in VIRG Stock
VIRG NATL financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIRG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIRG with respect to the benefits of owning VIRG NATL security.