Jhu Jian Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

7723 Stock   32.15  0.35  1.10%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jhu Jian Catering on the next trading day is expected to be 32.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.10. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Jhu Jian's stock prices and determine the direction of Jhu Jian Catering's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Jhu Jian's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. As of today, the value of RSI of Jhu Jian's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jhu Jian, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jhu Jian's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jhu Jian and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jhu Jian's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jhu Jian Catering, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jhu Jian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jhu Jian Catering from the perspective of Jhu Jian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jhu Jian Catering on the next trading day is expected to be 32.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.10.

Jhu Jian after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 32.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Jhu Jian Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jhu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jhu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jhu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Jhu Jian is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Jhu Jian Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jhu Jian Catering on the next trading day is expected to be 32.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jhu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jhu Jian's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jhu Jian Stock Forecast Pattern

Jhu Jian Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jhu Jian's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jhu Jian's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.05 and 34.25, respectively. We have considered Jhu Jian's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.15
32.15
Expected Value
34.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jhu Jian stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jhu Jian stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8371
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.18
MADMean absolute deviation0.6017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors36.1
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Jhu Jian Catering price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Jhu Jian. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Jhu Jian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhu Jian Catering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Jhu Jian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

As far as predicting the price of Jhu Jian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jhu Jian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jhu Jian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jhu Jian Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jhu Jian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jhu Jian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jhu Jian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
2.10
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.15
32.15
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Jhu Jian Hype Timeline

Jhu Jian Catering is presently traded for 32.15on Taiwan OTC Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jhu is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jhu Jian is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.15. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Jhu Jian Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jhu Jian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jhu Jian's future price movements. Getting to know how Jhu Jian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jhu Jian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Jhu Jian

For every potential investor in Jhu, whether a beginner or expert, Jhu Jian's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jhu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jhu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jhu Jian's price trends.

Jhu Jian Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jhu Jian stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jhu Jian could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jhu Jian by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jhu Jian Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jhu Jian stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jhu Jian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jhu Jian stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jhu Jian Catering entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jhu Jian Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jhu Jian's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jhu Jian's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jhu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Jhu Jian

The number of cover stories for Jhu Jian depends on current market conditions and Jhu Jian's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jhu Jian is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jhu Jian's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Jhu Stock Analysis

When running Jhu Jian's price analysis, check to measure Jhu Jian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jhu Jian is operating at the current time. Most of Jhu Jian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jhu Jian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jhu Jian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jhu Jian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.