Altair Engineering Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 8A2 Stock | EUR 99.50 0.50 0.50% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Altair Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 99.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.49. Altair Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altair Engineering's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Altair |
Altair Engineering Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Altair Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 99.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 3.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altair Engineering's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Altair Engineering Stock Forecast Pattern
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Altair Engineering Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Altair Engineering's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altair Engineering's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.03 and 101.91, respectively. We have considered Altair Engineering's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altair Engineering stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altair Engineering stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2286 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0136 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.4881 |
Predictive Modules for Altair Engineering
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altair Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Altair Engineering
For every potential investor in Altair, whether a beginner or expert, Altair Engineering's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altair Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altair Engineering's price trends.Altair Engineering Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altair Engineering stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altair Engineering could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altair Engineering by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altair Engineering Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altair Engineering's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altair Engineering's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Altair Engineering Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altair Engineering stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altair Engineering shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altair Engineering stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altair Engineering entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 99.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 99.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) |
Altair Engineering Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altair Engineering's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altair Engineering's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altair stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Altair Stock
When determining whether Altair Engineering is a strong investment it is important to analyze Altair Engineering's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Altair Engineering's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Altair Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altair Engineering to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Altair Stock please use our How to Invest in Altair Engineering guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.