Altair Engineering Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

8A2 Stock  EUR 100.00  1.00  0.99%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Altair Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 99.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.30. Altair Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altair Engineering's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Altair Engineering polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Altair Engineering as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Altair Engineering Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Altair Engineering on the next trading day is expected to be 99.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 4.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altair Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altair Engineering's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Altair Engineering Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Altair EngineeringAltair Engineering Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Altair Engineering Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Altair Engineering's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altair Engineering's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.82 and 101.68, respectively. We have considered Altair Engineering's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
100.00
99.75
Expected Value
101.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altair Engineering stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altair Engineering stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5786
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0178
SAESum of the absolute errors96.297
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Altair Engineering historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Altair Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altair Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.06100.00101.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.00111.21113.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
95.8598.25100.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Altair Engineering

For every potential investor in Altair, whether a beginner or expert, Altair Engineering's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altair Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altair. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altair Engineering's price trends.

Altair Engineering Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altair Engineering stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altair Engineering could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altair Engineering by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Altair Engineering Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altair Engineering's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altair Engineering's current price.

Altair Engineering Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altair Engineering stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altair Engineering shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altair Engineering stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Altair Engineering entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Altair Engineering Risk Indicators

The analysis of Altair Engineering's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altair Engineering's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altair stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Altair Stock

When determining whether Altair Engineering is a strong investment it is important to analyze Altair Engineering's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Altair Engineering's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Altair Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altair Engineering to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Altair Stock please use our How to Invest in Altair Engineering guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altair Engineering's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altair Engineering is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altair Engineering's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.