FREY EO Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

943 Stock  EUR 27.40  0.20  0.74%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FREY EO 250 on the next trading day is expected to be 27.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78. FREY Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FREY EO's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for FREY EO - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When FREY EO prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in FREY EO price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of FREY EO 250.

FREY EO Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FREY EO 250 on the next trading day is expected to be 27.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FREY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FREY EO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FREY EO Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FREY EOFREY EO Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FREY EO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FREY EO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FREY EO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.29 and 28.44, respectively. We have considered FREY EO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.40
27.36
Expected Value
28.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FREY EO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FREY EO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0415
MADMean absolute deviation0.2505
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors14.7808
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past FREY EO observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older FREY EO 250 observations.

Predictive Modules for FREY EO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FREY EO 250. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3227.4028.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6227.7028.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.1327.5627.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FREY EO

For every potential investor in FREY, whether a beginner or expert, FREY EO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FREY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FREY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FREY EO's price trends.

FREY EO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FREY EO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FREY EO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FREY EO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FREY EO 250 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FREY EO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FREY EO's current price.

FREY EO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FREY EO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FREY EO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FREY EO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FREY EO 250 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FREY EO Risk Indicators

The analysis of FREY EO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FREY EO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frey stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in FREY Stock

FREY EO financial ratios help investors to determine whether FREY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FREY with respect to the benefits of owning FREY EO security.