Agilent Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| A Stock | USD 135.05 3.58 2.58% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agilent Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 125.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.58. Agilent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Agilent Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Agilent Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Agilent Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Agilent Technologies' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.9342 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.5465 | Wall Street Target Price 169.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.5841 |
Using Agilent Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agilent Technologies from the perspective of Agilent Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Agilent Technologies using Agilent Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Agilent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Agilent Technologies' stock price.
Agilent Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Agilent Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Agilent. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Agilent Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 126.8299 | Short Percent 0.0154 | Short Ratio 1.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.3 M | 50 Day MA 144.1026 |
Agilent Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agilent Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agilent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agilent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agilent Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Agilent Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Agilent Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agilent Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agilent Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agilent Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agilent Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agilent Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 125.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.58. Agilent Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 135.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agilent Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Agilent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Agilent Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Agilent Technologies trading at USD 135.05, that is roughly USD 0.0363 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Agilent Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Agilent Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Agilent Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Agilent Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Agilent Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Agilent Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Agilent Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Agilent Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Agilent Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Agilent. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Agilent Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agilent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agilent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agilent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Agilent Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Agilent Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-01-31 | Previous Quarter 1.5 B | Current Value 1.8 B | Quarterly Volatility 662.3 M |
Agilent Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Agilent Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 125.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.29, mean absolute percentage error of 8.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Agilent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Agilent Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Agilent Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Agilent Technologies | Agilent Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Agilent Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Agilent Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Agilent Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.50 and 126.78, respectively. We have considered Agilent Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Agilent Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Agilent Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2925 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2882 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 139.5805 |
Predictive Modules for Agilent Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agilent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agilent Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agilent Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agilent Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agilent Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agilent Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agilent Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agilent Technologies' historical news coverage. Agilent Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 133.41 and 136.69, respectively. We have considered Agilent Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agilent Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agilent Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agilent Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agilent Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilent Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agilent Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.64 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
135.05 | 135.05 | 0.00 |
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Agilent Technologies Hype Timeline
As of January 24, 2026 Agilent Technologies is listed for 135.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Agilent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 93.18%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Agilent Technologies is about 221.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 134.96. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.87. Agilent Technologies last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2026. The entity had 1398:1000 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agilent Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Agilent Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agilent Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agilent Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Agilent Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agilent Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | (2.22) | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.06 | 3.12 | (1.65) | 6.05 | |
| MTD | Mettler Toledo International | (5.08) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.66 | (2.37) | 7.69 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | 0.80 | 10 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 3.24 | (1.68) | 6.78 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 1.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.11 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.11 | 0.07 | 2.81 | (1.81) | 6.06 | |
| CAH | Cardinal Health | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.42 | 0.17 | 2.69 | (1.38) | 18.07 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | (3.22) | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 2.93 | (1.77) | 6.92 | |
| WAT | Waters | 4.27 | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.09 | 3.35 | (1.83) | 8.38 | |
| INSM | Insmed Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.35 | (3.65) | 32.41 | |
| EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | (3.22) | 26 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 2.33 | (1.81) | 8.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Agilent Technologies
For every potential investor in Agilent, whether a beginner or expert, Agilent Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Agilent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Agilent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Agilent Technologies' price trends.Agilent Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Agilent Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Agilent Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilent Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agilent Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Agilent Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Agilent Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Agilent Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Agilent Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0319 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.81) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 136.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 135.79 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.41 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.90) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.58) |
Agilent Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agilent Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agilent Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agilent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Agilent Technologies
The number of cover stories for Agilent Technologies depends on current market conditions and Agilent Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agilent Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agilent Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agilent Technologies Short Properties
Agilent Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Agilent Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agilent Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agilent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agilent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 284 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agilent Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Agilent Stock refer to our How to Trade Agilent Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Life Sciences Tools & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilent Technologies. If investors know Agilent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilent Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Dividend Share 0.992 | Earnings Share 4.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
The market value of Agilent Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilent Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilent Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilent Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilent Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilent Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilent Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilent Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.