COPLAND ROAD Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

A2P Stock   39.25  0.20  0.51%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL on the next trading day is expected to be 39.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.52. COPLAND Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of COPLAND ROAD's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for COPLAND ROAD - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When COPLAND ROAD prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in COPLAND ROAD price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL.

COPLAND ROAD Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL on the next trading day is expected to be 39.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COPLAND Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COPLAND ROAD's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

COPLAND ROAD Stock Forecast Pattern

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COPLAND ROAD Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting COPLAND ROAD's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. COPLAND ROAD's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.91 and 42.39, respectively. We have considered COPLAND ROAD's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.25
39.15
Expected Value
42.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COPLAND ROAD stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COPLAND ROAD stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2308
MADMean absolute deviation0.924
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors54.5164
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past COPLAND ROAD observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL observations.

Predictive Modules for COPLAND ROAD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0139.2542.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.9840.2243.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for COPLAND ROAD

For every potential investor in COPLAND, whether a beginner or expert, COPLAND ROAD's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. COPLAND Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in COPLAND. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying COPLAND ROAD's price trends.

COPLAND ROAD Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with COPLAND ROAD stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of COPLAND ROAD could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing COPLAND ROAD by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of COPLAND ROAD's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of COPLAND ROAD's current price.

COPLAND ROAD Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how COPLAND ROAD stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading COPLAND ROAD shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying COPLAND ROAD stock market strength indicators, traders can identify COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

COPLAND ROAD Risk Indicators

The analysis of COPLAND ROAD's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COPLAND ROAD's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting copland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in COPLAND Stock

COPLAND ROAD financial ratios help investors to determine whether COPLAND Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COPLAND with respect to the benefits of owning COPLAND ROAD security.