Administradora Americana Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AAISA Stock | 418.05 1.58 0.38% |
Administradora Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Administradora Americana's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Administradora Americana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Administradora Americana de from the perspective of Administradora Americana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Administradora Americana de on the next trading day is expected to be 418.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 459.03. Administradora Americana after-hype prediction price | CLP 419.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Administradora |
Administradora Americana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Administradora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Administradora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Administradora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Administradora Americana Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Administradora Americana de on the next trading day is expected to be 418.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.78, mean absolute percentage error of 99.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 459.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Administradora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Administradora Americana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Administradora Americana Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Administradora Americana | Administradora Americana Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Administradora Americana Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Administradora Americana's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Administradora Americana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 416.87 and 420.81, respectively. We have considered Administradora Americana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Administradora Americana stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Administradora Americana stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0331 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.4534 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.7802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0196 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 459.03 |
Predictive Modules for Administradora Americana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Administradora Americana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Administradora Americana After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Administradora Americana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Administradora Americana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Administradora Americana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Administradora Americana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Administradora Americana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Administradora Americana's historical news coverage. Administradora Americana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 417.65 and 421.61, respectively. We have considered Administradora Americana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Administradora Americana is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Administradora Americana is based on 3 months time horizon.
Administradora Americana Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Administradora Americana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Administradora Americana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Administradora Americana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
418.05 | 419.63 | 0.00 |
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Administradora Americana Hype Timeline
Administradora Americana is presently traded for 418.05on Chilean Stock Exchange of Chile. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Administradora is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Administradora Americana is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 418.05. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Administradora Americana recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Administradora Americana to cross-verify your projections.Administradora Americana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Administradora Americana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Administradora Americana's future price movements. Getting to know how Administradora Americana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Administradora Americana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCI | Banco de Credito | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.19 | 1.95 | (2.27) | 6.56 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.21 | 2.82 | (3.10) | 10.37 | |
| MULTIX | Multiexport Foods SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 4.12 | (1.46) | 9.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for Administradora Americana
For every potential investor in Administradora, whether a beginner or expert, Administradora Americana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Administradora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Administradora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Administradora Americana's price trends.Administradora Americana Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Administradora Americana stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Administradora Americana could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Administradora Americana by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Administradora Americana Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Administradora Americana stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Administradora Americana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Administradora Americana stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Administradora Americana de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.51) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 418.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 418.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.58) |
Administradora Americana Risk Indicators
The analysis of Administradora Americana's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Administradora Americana's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting administradora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Administradora Americana
The number of cover stories for Administradora Americana depends on current market conditions and Administradora Americana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Administradora Americana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Administradora Americana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Administradora Americana Short Properties
Administradora Americana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Administradora Americana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Administradora Americana de often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Administradora Americana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Administradora Americana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.025 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 3.5 | |
| Shares Float | 188.6 M |
Additional Tools for Administradora Stock Analysis
When running Administradora Americana's price analysis, check to measure Administradora Americana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Administradora Americana is operating at the current time. Most of Administradora Americana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Administradora Americana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Administradora Americana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Administradora Americana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.