Direxion Shares Etf Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AAPD Etf | USD 13.73 0.23 1.65% |
Direxion Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Direxion Shares stock prices and determine the direction of Direxion Shares ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Direxion Shares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Direxion Shares' share price is at 54. This suggests that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Direxion Shares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Direxion Shares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Direxion Shares ETF from the perspective of Direxion Shares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Direxion Shares using Direxion Shares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Direxion using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Direxion Shares' stock price.
Direxion Shares Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Direxion Shares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Direxion Shares ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Direxion Shares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Direxion Shares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Direxion Shares' options are near their expiration.
Direxion Shares after-hype prediction price | USD 13.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Direxion contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Direxion Shares ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Direxion Shares trading at USD 13.73, that is roughly USD 0.005235 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Direxion Shares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Direxion Shares ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Direxion Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Direxion Shares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Direxion Shares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Direxion Shares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Direxion Shares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Direxion Shares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Direxion Shares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Direxion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Direxion Shares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Direxion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Direxion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Direxion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Direxion Shares Volatility | Backtest Direxion Shares | Information Ratio |
Direxion Shares Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Direxion Shares ETF was traded for 13.72 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 13.72 and the lowest listed price was 13.72 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 27, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.71% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Direxion Shares to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Direxion Shares
For every potential investor in Direxion, whether a beginner or expert, Direxion Shares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Direxion Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Direxion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Direxion Shares' price trends.Direxion Shares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Direxion Shares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Direxion Shares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Direxion Shares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Direxion Shares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Direxion Shares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Direxion Shares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Direxion Shares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Direxion Shares ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.96 |
Direxion Shares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Direxion Shares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Direxion Shares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting direxion etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7141 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9613 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9242 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Direxion Shares
The number of cover stories for Direxion Shares depends on current market conditions and Direxion Shares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Direxion Shares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Direxion Shares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Direxion Shares to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of Direxion Shares ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Shares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Shares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Shares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Shares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Shares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Shares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Shares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.