ABL Group Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ABL Stock | 9.64 0.02 0.21% |
ABL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of ABL Group's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ABL Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ABL Group ASA from the perspective of ABL Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ABL Group ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00. ABL Group after-hype prediction price | NOK 9.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ABL |
ABL Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ABL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ABL using various technical indicators. When you analyze ABL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ABL Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ABL Group ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ABL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ABL Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ABL Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ABL Group | ABL Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ABL Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ABL Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ABL Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.94 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered ABL Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ABL Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ABL Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2959 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.021 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0984 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.0 |
Predictive Modules for ABL Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABL Group ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ABL Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ABL Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ABL Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ABL Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ABL Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ABL Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ABL Group's historical news coverage. ABL Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.94 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered ABL Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ABL Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ABL Group ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.
ABL Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ABL Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ABL Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ABL Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.64 | 9.64 | 0.00 |
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ABL Group Hype Timeline
ABL Group ASA is presently traded for 9.64on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ABL is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on ABL Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.64. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of ABL Group was presently reported as 0.69. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ABL Group to cross-verify your projections.ABL Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ABL Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ABL Group's future price movements. Getting to know how ABL Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ABL Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRS | Prosafe SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.03 | 4.42 | (4.93) | 12.71 | |
| NORAM | NorAm Drilling AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.19 | 2.75 | (1.57) | 9.74 | |
| SDSD | SD Standard Drilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.06) | 1.61 | (1.08) | 4.33 | |
| EIOF | Eidesvik Offshore ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.02 | 2.83 | (2.38) | 7.58 | |
| QEC | Questerre Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.98 | (3.30) | 22.37 | |
| PSE | Petrolia SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | (0.02) | 4.82 | (3.48) | 12.76 | |
| EMGS | Electromagnetic Geoservices ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.22 | 0.05 | 18.18 | (14.29) | 93.21 | |
| NOL | Northern Ocean | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.14 | 2.78 | (1.71) | 43.11 | |
| REACH | Reach Subsea | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (5.31) | 16.96 | |
| DVD | Deep Value Driller | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 2.51 | (2.35) | 7.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for ABL Group
For every potential investor in ABL, whether a beginner or expert, ABL Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ABL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ABL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ABL Group's price trends.ABL Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ABL Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ABL Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ABL Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ABL Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ABL Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ABL Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ABL Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ABL Group ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1372.21 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
ABL Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of ABL Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ABL Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ABL Group
The number of cover stories for ABL Group depends on current market conditions and ABL Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ABL Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ABL Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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ABL Group Short Properties
ABL Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when ABL Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ABL Group ASA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ABL Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABL Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in ABL Stock
ABL Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABL with respect to the benefits of owning ABL Group security.