Abbott Laboratories Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ABT Stock  USD 125.92  0.26  0.21%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 125.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.98. Abbott Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Abbott Laboratories' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Abbott Laboratories' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abbott Laboratories, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Abbott Laboratories' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4932
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.1713
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.6775
Wall Street Target Price
144.7492
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.2994
Using Abbott Laboratories hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abbott Laboratories from the perspective of Abbott Laboratories response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Abbott Laboratories using Abbott Laboratories' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Abbott using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Abbott Laboratories' stock price.

Abbott Laboratories Short Interest

An investor who is long Abbott Laboratories may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Abbott Laboratories and may potentially protect profits, hedge Abbott Laboratories with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
130.0466
Short Percent
0.0092
Short Ratio
2.33
Shares Short Prior Month
19.1 M
50 Day MA
126.0128

Abbott Laboratories Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Abbott Laboratories' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Abbott. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Abbott can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Abbott Laboratories. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Abbott Laboratories' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Abbott Laboratories.

Abbott Laboratories Implied Volatility

    
  0.39  
Abbott Laboratories' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abbott Laboratories stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abbott Laboratories' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abbott Laboratories stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abbott Laboratories' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 125.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.98.

Abbott Laboratories after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 126.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abbott Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Abbott Stock please use our How to Invest in Abbott Laboratories guide.At this time, Abbott Laboratories' Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.83 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.93 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 16.2 B in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 1.3 B in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Abbott Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Abbott Laboratories' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Abbott Laboratories' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Abbott Laboratories stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Abbott Laboratories' open interest, investors have to compare it to Abbott Laboratories' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Abbott Laboratories is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Abbott. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Abbott Laboratories Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abbott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abbott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abbott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Abbott Laboratories' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
B
Current Value
7.5 B
Quarterly Volatility
3.3 B
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Abbott Laboratories is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Abbott Laboratories value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Abbott Laboratories Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 125.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abbott Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abbott Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Abbott Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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Abbott Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Abbott Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abbott Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.23 and 126.51, respectively. We have considered Abbott Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.92
124.23
Downside
125.37
Expected Value
126.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abbott Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abbott Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0697
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2784
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0101
SAESum of the absolute errors77.9838
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Abbott Laboratories. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Abbott Laboratories. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Abbott Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abbott Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.91126.06127.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.33135.35136.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.18125.74129.31
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
131.72144.75160.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abbott Laboratories. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abbott Laboratories' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abbott Laboratories' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Abbott Laboratories.

Other Forecasting Options for Abbott Laboratories

For every potential investor in Abbott, whether a beginner or expert, Abbott Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abbott Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abbott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abbott Laboratories' price trends.

Abbott Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abbott Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abbott Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abbott Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Abbott Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Abbott Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Abbott Laboratories' current price.

Abbott Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abbott Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abbott Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abbott Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abbott Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Abbott Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of Abbott Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abbott Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abbott stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Abbott Stock Analysis

When running Abbott Laboratories' price analysis, check to measure Abbott Laboratories' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abbott Laboratories is operating at the current time. Most of Abbott Laboratories' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abbott Laboratories' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abbott Laboratories' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abbott Laboratories to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.