Abbott Laboratories Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ABT Stock | USD 108.61 12.12 10.04% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 114.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.89. Abbott Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Abbott Laboratories' share price is below 30 at this time. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Abbott Laboratories, making its price go up or down. Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Abbott Laboratories hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abbott Laboratories from the perspective of Abbott Laboratories response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 114.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.89. Abbott Laboratories after-hype prediction price | USD 108.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abbott Laboratories to cross-verify your projections. Abbott Laboratories Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abbott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abbott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abbott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Abbott Laboratories Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Abbott Laboratories on the next trading day is expected to be 114.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 5.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abbott Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abbott Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Abbott Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Abbott Laboratories | Abbott Laboratories Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Abbott Laboratories Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Abbott Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abbott Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 112.99 and 116.35, respectively. We have considered Abbott Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abbott Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abbott Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0601 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3503 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4049 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 82.89 |
Predictive Modules for Abbott Laboratories
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abbott Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abbott Laboratories After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abbott Laboratories at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abbott Laboratories or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abbott Laboratories, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abbott Laboratories Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abbott Laboratories' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abbott Laboratories' historical news coverage. Abbott Laboratories' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.93 and 110.29, respectively. We have considered Abbott Laboratories' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abbott Laboratories is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abbott Laboratories is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abbott Laboratories Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abbott Laboratories is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abbott Laboratories backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abbott Laboratories, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
108.61 | 108.61 | 0.00 |
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Abbott Laboratories Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Abbott Laboratories is traded for 108.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.45. Abbott is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abbott Laboratories is about 86.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.06. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Abbott Laboratories was presently reported as 29.3. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.96. Abbott Laboratories last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. The entity had 10000:4798 split on the 2nd of January 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abbott Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.Abbott Laboratories Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abbott Laboratories' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abbott Laboratories' future price movements. Getting to know how Abbott Laboratories' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abbott Laboratories may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVO | Novo Nordisk AS | (0.67) | 7 per month | 1.93 | 0.05 | 5.80 | (2.86) | 12.57 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.06 | 0.18 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific | 13.20 | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.13 | 2.57 | (1.36) | 4.88 | |
| NVS | Novartis AG ADR | (1.52) | 22 per month | 1.08 | 0.06 | 2.59 | (2.06) | 5.29 | |
| BSX | Boston Scientific Corp | (0.17) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.42 | (2.23) | 7.91 | |
| MDT | Medtronic PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.03 | 2.41 | (1.61) | 6.95 | |
| SYK | Stryker | 6.36 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.16 | (2.03) | 6.72 | |
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.89 | (2.20) | 7.35 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | (0.79) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.70 | (2.34) | 7.02 | |
| GILD | Gilead Sciences | 2.69 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.01 | 2.59 | (2.41) | 6.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Abbott Laboratories
For every potential investor in Abbott, whether a beginner or expert, Abbott Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abbott Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abbott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abbott Laboratories' price trends.Abbott Laboratories Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abbott Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abbott Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abbott Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Abbott Laboratories Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abbott Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abbott Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abbott Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Abbott Laboratories entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.6 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 109.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 109.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.30) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (12.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 26.89 |
Abbott Laboratories Risk Indicators
The analysis of Abbott Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abbott Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abbott stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9679 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Abbott Laboratories
The number of cover stories for Abbott Laboratories depends on current market conditions and Abbott Laboratories' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abbott Laboratories is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abbott Laboratories' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Abbott Laboratories Short Properties
Abbott Laboratories' future price predictability will typically decrease when Abbott Laboratories' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abbott Laboratories often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abbott Laboratories' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abbott Laboratories' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 B |
Additional Tools for Abbott Stock Analysis
When running Abbott Laboratories' price analysis, check to measure Abbott Laboratories' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abbott Laboratories is operating at the current time. Most of Abbott Laboratories' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abbott Laboratories' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abbott Laboratories' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abbott Laboratories to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.