Alliance Creative Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ACGX Stock  USD 0.09  0.02  18.18%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alliance Creative Gr on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57. Alliance Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Alliance Creative is based on an artificially constructed time series of Alliance Creative daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Alliance Creative 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alliance Creative Gr on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alliance Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alliance Creative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alliance Creative Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Alliance Creative Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alliance Creative's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alliance Creative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 19.54, respectively. We have considered Alliance Creative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.1
Expected Value
19.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alliance Creative pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alliance Creative pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria94.7753
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0107
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1292
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5654
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Alliance Creative Gr 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Alliance Creative

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliance Creative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0919.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0819.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alliance Creative. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alliance Creative's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alliance Creative's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alliance Creative.

Other Forecasting Options for Alliance Creative

For every potential investor in Alliance, whether a beginner or expert, Alliance Creative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alliance Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alliance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alliance Creative's price trends.

Alliance Creative Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alliance Creative pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alliance Creative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliance Creative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alliance Creative Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alliance Creative's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alliance Creative's current price.

Alliance Creative Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alliance Creative pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alliance Creative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alliance Creative pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alliance Creative Gr entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alliance Creative Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alliance Creative's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alliance Creative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alliance pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alliance Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Alliance Creative's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Creative's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Creative is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Creative's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Creative's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Creative's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Creative to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.