Accendra Health Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| ACH Stock | USD 2.08 0.04 1.89% |
Accendra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Accendra Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the value of relative strength index of Accendra Health's share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Accendra Health, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Accendra Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accendra Health from the perspective of Accendra Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Accendra Health on the next trading day is expected to be 2.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.60. Accendra Health after-hype prediction price | USD 2.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accendra Health to cross-verify your projections. Accendra Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Accendra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accendra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accendra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Accendra Health 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Accendra Health on the next trading day is expected to be 2.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accendra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accendra Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Accendra Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Accendra Health | Accendra Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Accendra Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Accendra Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Accendra Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.44, respectively. We have considered Accendra Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accendra Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accendra Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.6236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0597 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1655 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0659 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.6 |
Predictive Modules for Accendra Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accendra Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accendra Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Accendra Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Accendra Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Accendra Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Accendra Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Accendra Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Accendra Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Accendra Health's historical news coverage. Accendra Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.62, respectively. We have considered Accendra Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Accendra Health is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Accendra Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Accendra Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Accendra Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Accendra Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Accendra Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 5.35 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.08 | 2.08 | 0.00 |
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Accendra Health Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Accendra Health is traded for 2.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Accendra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on Accendra Health is about 2034.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.26. The company recorded a loss per share of 17.41. Accendra Health last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 11th of October 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accendra Health to cross-verify your projections.Accendra Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Accendra Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Accendra Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Accendra Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Accendra Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SGHT | Sight Sciences | (0.02) | 10 per month | 3.46 | 0.06 | 9.34 | (6.23) | 25.08 | |
| OM | Outset Medical | (0.89) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.51 | (10.93) | 52.35 | |
| CVRX | CVRx Inc | 0.24 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.05 | (6.66) | 28.35 | |
| ACRS | Aclaris Therapeutics | 0.11 | 9 per month | 4.57 | 0.10 | 8.84 | (7.99) | 84.20 | |
| BIOA | BioAge Labs | 2.85 | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.24 | 13.88 | (6.06) | 33.50 | |
| EDIT | Editas Medicine | 0.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.56 | (9.13) | 21.57 | |
| ALLO | Allogene Therapeutics | 0.08 | 6 per month | 3.90 | 0.1 | 9.76 | (6.16) | 26.97 | |
| CGC | Canopy Growth Corp | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.55 | (9.16) | 66.41 | |
| HITI | High Tide | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.78 | (4.20) | 17.53 | |
| CABA | Cabaletta Bio | 0.01 | 7 per month | 4.83 | 0.05 | 10.58 | (8.76) | 62.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Accendra Health
For every potential investor in Accendra, whether a beginner or expert, Accendra Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Accendra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Accendra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Accendra Health's price trends.Accendra Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accendra Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accendra Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accendra Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Accendra Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accendra Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accendra Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accendra Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Accendra Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accendra Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Accendra Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accendra Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accendra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.84 | |||
| Variance | 34.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Accendra Health
The number of cover stories for Accendra Health depends on current market conditions and Accendra Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Accendra Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Accendra Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Accendra Health Short Properties
Accendra Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Accendra Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Accendra Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Accendra Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accendra Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accendra Health to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Accendra Stock please use our How to Invest in Accendra Health guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is there potential for Medical Distribution market expansion? Will Accendra introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Accendra Health. If investors know Accendra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Accendra Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Accendra Health requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Accendra's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Accendra Health's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Accendra Health's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Accendra Health's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Accendra Health represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Accendra Health's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.