Outset Medical Stock Price Patterns
| OM Stock | USD 3.82 0.72 15.86% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.58) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.45) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.66) | Wall Street Target Price 11.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.66) |
Using Outset Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Outset Medical from the perspective of Outset Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Outset Medical using Outset Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Outset using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Outset Medical's stock price.
Outset Medical Short Interest
An investor who is long Outset Medical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Outset Medical and may potentially protect profits, hedge Outset Medical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.3581 | Short Percent 0.1263 | Short Ratio 1.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 4.4561 |
Outset Medical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Outset Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Outset. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Outset can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Outset Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Outset Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Outset Medical.
Outset Medical Implied Volatility | 2.62 |
Outset Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Outset Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Outset Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Outset Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Outset Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Outset Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Outset because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Outset Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 4.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Outset contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Outset Medical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.16% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Outset Medical trading at USD 3.82, that is roughly USD 0.006255 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Outset Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Outset Medical options at the current volatility level of 2.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Outset Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Outset Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Outset Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Outset Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Outset Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Outset Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Outset Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Outset Medical's historical news coverage. Outset Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Outset Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Outset Medical is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Outset Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Outset Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Outset Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Outset Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Outset Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 5.87 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.82 | 4.53 | 0.22 |
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Outset Medical Hype Timeline
As of February 12, 2026 Outset Medical is listed for 3.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Outset is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Outset Medical is about 6450.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.83. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Outset Medical has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.06. The entity recorded a loss per share of 11.56. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Outset Medical had 1:15 split on the 20th of March 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Outset Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Outset Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Outset Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Outset Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Outset Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Outset Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SNWV | SANUWAVE Health Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.94 | (3.81) | 26.31 | |
| HSDT | Helius Medical Technologies | (0.26) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 11.70 | (10.79) | 29.52 | |
| NNOX | Nano X Imaging | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.44 | (6.31) | 36.87 | |
| INGN | Inogen Inc | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.40 | (3.10) | 19.47 | |
| QTRX | Quanterix Corp | 0.13 | 11 per month | 3.50 | 0.06 | 8.16 | (6.92) | 34.06 | |
| CATX | Perspective Therapeutics | 0.03 | 10 per month | 4.83 | 0.15 | 8.14 | (8.80) | 77.44 | |
| VMD | Viemed Healthcare | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.19 | 4.30 | (2.27) | 8.29 | |
| OMI | Owens Minor | 0.26 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.94 | (13.10) | 27.99 | |
| TNYA | Tenaya Therapeutics | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.57 | (11.04) | 49.22 | |
| SI | Shoulder Innovations | 0.39 | 9 per month | 3.11 | 0.03 | 6.14 | (6.04) | 39.05 |
Outset Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Outset price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Outset using various technical indicators. When you analyze Outset charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Outset Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Outset Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Outset Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Outset Medical based on analysis of Outset Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Outset Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Outset Medical's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 17.4 | 19.45 | 17.51 | 31.34 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 177.2 | 288.54 | 259.68 | 272.67 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Outset Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Outset Stock, please use our How to Invest in Outset Medical guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Outset diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Outset Medical. Anticipated expansion of Outset directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Outset Medical data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (11.56) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Outset Medical's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Outset's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Outset Medical's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Outset Medical's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Outset Medical's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Outset Medical should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Outset Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.