ACI Worldwide Stock Forward View
| ACIW Stock | USD 39.56 0.29 0.74% |
ACI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of ACI Worldwide's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ACI Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ACI Worldwide from the perspective of ACI Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ACI Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.50. ACI Worldwide after-hype prediction price | USD 39.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ACI Worldwide to cross-verify your projections. ACI Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ACI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ACI using various technical indicators. When you analyze ACI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ACI Worldwide Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ACI Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ACI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ACI Worldwide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ACI Worldwide Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ACI Worldwide | ACI Worldwide Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ACI Worldwide Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ACI Worldwide's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ACI Worldwide's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.76 and 40.91, respectively. We have considered ACI Worldwide's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ACI Worldwide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ACI Worldwide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0527 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8114 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0182 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.4978 |
Predictive Modules for ACI Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACI Worldwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACI Worldwide After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ACI Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ACI Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ACI Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ACI Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ACI Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ACI Worldwide's historical news coverage. ACI Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.45 and 41.61, respectively. We have considered ACI Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ACI Worldwide is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ACI Worldwide is based on 3 months time horizon.
ACI Worldwide Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ACI Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ACI Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ACI Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.08 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.56 | 39.53 | 0.08 |
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ACI Worldwide Hype Timeline
ACI Worldwide is presently traded for 39.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.31. ACI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on ACI Worldwide is about 154.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.87. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ACI Worldwide was presently reported as 14.33. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. ACI Worldwide had 3:1 split on the 11th of July 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ACI Worldwide to cross-verify your projections.ACI Worldwide Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ACI Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ACI Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how ACI Worldwide's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ACI Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WEX | Wex Inc | 4.82 | 8 per month | 2.08 | 0.03 | 3.40 | (2.82) | 14.87 | |
| BOX | Box Inc | 0.58 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.76 | (3.94) | 12.81 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 3.17 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.52 | (4.98) | 17.06 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | (0.92) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 13.79 | (10.04) | 37.07 | |
| STNE | StoneCo | (0.25) | 8 per month | 3.28 | (0.01) | 5.33 | (6.68) | 15.52 | |
| DLO | Dlocal | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.99 | (4.49) | 10.67 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.25 | (3.23) | 11.17 | |
| CORZ | Core Scientific Common | 0.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.30 | (7.88) | 18.78 | |
| BTDR | Bitdeer Technologies Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 9.99 | (11.78) | 29.09 | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | 5.79 | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.14 | 4.37 | (2.93) | 10.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for ACI Worldwide
For every potential investor in ACI, whether a beginner or expert, ACI Worldwide's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ACI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ACI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ACI Worldwide's price trends.ACI Worldwide Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ACI Worldwide stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ACI Worldwide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ACI Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ACI Worldwide Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ACI Worldwide stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ACI Worldwide shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ACI Worldwide stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ACI Worldwide entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ACI Worldwide Risk Indicators
The analysis of ACI Worldwide's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ACI Worldwide's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ACI Worldwide
The number of cover stories for ACI Worldwide depends on current market conditions and ACI Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ACI Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ACI Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ACI Worldwide Short Properties
ACI Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when ACI Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ACI Worldwide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ACI Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACI Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.4 M |
Additional Tools for ACI Stock Analysis
When running ACI Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure ACI Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ACI Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of ACI Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ACI Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ACI Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ACI Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.