Acarix AB OTC Stock Forward View
| ACIXF Stock | 0.03 0 10.22% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Acarix AB based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Acarix AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acarix AB from the perspective of Acarix AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acarix AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Acarix AB after-hype prediction price | USD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acarix |
Acarix AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acarix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acarix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acarix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acarix AB Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acarix AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000575, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acarix OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acarix AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acarix AB OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
Acarix AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acarix AB's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acarix AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 8.02, respectively. We have considered Acarix AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acarix AB otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acarix AB otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.0448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0019 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0615 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1138 |
Predictive Modules for Acarix AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acarix AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acarix AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acarix AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Acarix AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acarix AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Acarix AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acarix AB OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Acarix AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acarix AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acarix AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 7.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 13.04 |
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Acarix AB Hype Timeline
Acarix AB is presently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acarix is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -13.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Acarix AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.Acarix AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acarix AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acarix AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Acarix AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acarix AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENGY | Central Energy Partners | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BAKPF | Global Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.00 | |
| PCPZ | Leeward Group Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RHEP | Regional Health Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.02 | 0.02 | 9.49 | (8.76) | 30.85 | |
| VIFI | Vie Financial Group | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRKO | Broke Out | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SMVI | Social Media Venture | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BOLV | Bolivar Mining Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DRVYF | Discovery Africa Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTBTQ | Pope Talbot | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acarix AB
For every potential investor in Acarix, whether a beginner or expert, Acarix AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acarix OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acarix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acarix AB's price trends.Acarix AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acarix AB otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acarix AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acarix AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acarix AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acarix AB otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acarix AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acarix AB otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acarix AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0345 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0345 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0016 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.0032 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.85 |
Acarix AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acarix AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acarix AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acarix otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.98 | |||
| Variance | 80.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 165.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 26.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (16.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acarix AB
The number of cover stories for Acarix AB depends on current market conditions and Acarix AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acarix AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acarix AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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