Rivian Automotive Stock Price Prediction
| RIVN Stock | USD 10.24 0.22 2.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.69) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.02) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.64) | Wall Street Target Price 14.9577 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.92) |
Using Rivian Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rivian Automotive from the perspective of Rivian Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Rivian Automotive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rivian Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rivian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rivian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rivian Automotive. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rivian Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rivian Automotive.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rivian Automotive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rivian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rivian Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 10.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rivian |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rivian Automotive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rivian Automotive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rivian Automotive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rivian Automotive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rivian Automotive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rivian Automotive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rivian Automotive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rivian Automotive's historical news coverage. Rivian Automotive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.19 and 14.29, respectively. We have considered Rivian Automotive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rivian Automotive is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rivian Automotive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rivian Automotive Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rivian Automotive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rivian Automotive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rivian Automotive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 4.07 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.24 | 10.24 | 0.00 |
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Rivian Automotive Hype Timeline
Rivian Automotive is at this time traded for 10.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.34. Rivian is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rivian Automotive is about 551.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.90. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rivian Automotive has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.13. The entity recorded a loss per share of 5.6. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Rivian Automotive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rivian Automotive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rivian Automotive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rivian Automotive's future price movements. Getting to know how Rivian Automotive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rivian Automotive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NIO | Nio Class A | 0.05 | 9 per month | 4.39 | 0.06 | 10.96 | (7.21) | 23.87 | |
| XPEV | Xpeng Inc | (0.81) | 9 per month | 4.74 | 0.16 | 9.00 | (7.51) | 26.26 | |
| FSR | Fisker Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.70 | 0.07 | 9.41 | (7.36) | 37.41 | |
| MULN | Mullen Automotive | 0.03 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 18.52 | (17.65) | 100.65 | |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | (5.61) | 8 per month | 2.64 | 0.16 | 8.19 | (5.77) | 28.06 | |
| LI | Li Auto | (0.01) | 11 per month | 4.88 | 0.01 | 10.62 | (7.65) | 25.86 | |
| LCID | Lucid Group | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.88 | (5.96) | 30.74 | |
| GM | General Motors | (0.49) | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.11 | 4.17 | (2.76) | 12.14 | |
| F | Ford Motor | 0.16 | 9 per month | 2.19 | (0.03) | 2.75 | (2.90) | 11.72 |
Rivian Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rivian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rivian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rivian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rivian Automotive Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rivian Automotive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rivian Automotive, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rivian Automotive based on analysis of Rivian Automotive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rivian Automotive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rivian Automotive's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Current Ratio | 14.13 | 5.42 | 4.95 | 9.21 | Net Debt To EBITDA | 3.72 | 1.63 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for Rivian Automotive
The number of cover stories for Rivian Automotive depends on current market conditions and Rivian Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rivian Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rivian Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rivian Automotive Short Properties
Rivian Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rivian Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rivian Automotive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rivian Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rivian Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 947 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 B |
Check out Rivian Automotive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Rivian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rivian Automotive guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rivian Automotive. If investors know Rivian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rivian Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.60) | Revenue Per Share 4.602 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.35) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.67) |
The market value of Rivian Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rivian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rivian Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rivian Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rivian Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rivian Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rivian Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rivian Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rivian Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.