Acm Research Stock Forward View
| ACMR Stock | USD 58.12 3.44 6.29% |
Acm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Acm Research's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Acm Research's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Acm Research fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Acm Research's stock price is slightly above 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acm, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.137 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.805 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.145 | Wall Street Target Price 48.6714 |
Using Acm Research hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acm Research from the perspective of Acm Research response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acm Research using Acm Research's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acm Research's stock price.
Acm Research Short Interest
An investor who is long Acm Research may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Acm Research and may potentially protect profits, hedge Acm Research with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.506 | Short Percent 0.0635 | Short Ratio 2.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 42.2697 |
Acm Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acm Research on the next trading day is expected to be 57.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.38.Acm Research Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Acm Research's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Acm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acm Research. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acm Research's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acm Research.
Acm Research Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Acm Research's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acm Research stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acm Research's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acm Research stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acm Research's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acm Research on the next trading day is expected to be 57.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.38. Acm Research after-hype prediction price | USD 58.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acm Research to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Acm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Acm Research will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Acm Research trading at USD 58.12, that is roughly USD 0.0312 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Acm Research's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Acm Research options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Acm Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Acm Research's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Acm Research's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Acm Research stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Acm Research's open interest, investors have to compare it to Acm Research's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Acm Research is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Acm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Acm Research Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acm Research Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Acm Research's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2015-12-31 | Previous Quarter 452.9 M | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 215.9 M |
Acm Research Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acm Research on the next trading day is expected to be 57.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acm Research's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acm Research Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acm Research | Acm Research Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Acm Research Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acm Research's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acm Research's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.33 and 62.10, respectively. We have considered Acm Research's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acm Research stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acm Research stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3211 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3669 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0328 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 83.3785 |
Predictive Modules for Acm Research
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acm Research. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acm Research After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acm Research at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acm Research or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acm Research, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acm Research Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acm Research's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acm Research's historical news coverage. Acm Research's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.27 and 63.03, respectively. We have considered Acm Research's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acm Research is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acm Research is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acm Research Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acm Research is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acm Research backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acm Research, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 4.38 | 0.53 | 0.68 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
58.12 | 58.65 | 0.91 |
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Acm Research Hype Timeline
Acm Research is presently traded for 58.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.68. Acm is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.75%. The volatility of related hype on Acm Research is about 484.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.80. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 782.12 M. Net Income was 131.27 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 410.98 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acm Research to cross-verify your projections.Acm Research Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acm Research's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acm Research's future price movements. Getting to know how Acm Research's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acm Research may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | 4.05 | 10 per month | 2.73 | 0.03 | 5.46 | (4.48) | 12.52 | |
| NVTS | Navitas Semiconductor Corp | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.60 | (9.92) | 32.37 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | (0.51) | 11 per month | 2.88 | 0.02 | 5.26 | (3.16) | 17.49 | |
| SYNA | Synaptics Incorporated | 7.61 | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.06 | 7.07 | (3.94) | 15.42 | |
| GLOB | Globant SA | (0.94) | 9 per month | 2.54 | 0.03 | 5.74 | (3.52) | 14.86 | |
| NATL | NCR Atleos | (0.14) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.08 | (3.05) | 12.49 | |
| POWI | Power Integrations | 0.58 | 11 per month | 2.62 | 0.04 | 4.95 | (3.75) | 10.65 | |
| VSH | Vishay Intertechnology | (0.35) | 11 per month | 2.35 | 0.08 | 6.56 | (4.05) | 10.69 | |
| ODD | ODDITY Tech Ltd | 0.95 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.24 | (5.12) | 18.82 | |
| DQ | Daqo New Energy | (1.99) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.99 | (6.41) | 22.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acm Research
For every potential investor in Acm, whether a beginner or expert, Acm Research's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acm Research's price trends.Acm Research Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acm Research stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acm Research could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acm Research by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acm Research Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acm Research stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acm Research shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acm Research stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acm Research entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Acm Research Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acm Research's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acm Research's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Variance | 19.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acm Research
The number of cover stories for Acm Research depends on current market conditions and Acm Research's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acm Research is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acm Research's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acm Research Short Properties
Acm Research's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acm Research's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acm Research often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acm Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acm Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 444.1 M |
Additional Tools for Acm Stock Analysis
When running Acm Research's price analysis, check to measure Acm Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acm Research is operating at the current time. Most of Acm Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acm Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acm Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acm Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.