Adidas AG OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ADDYY Stock  USD 98.85  0.65  0.65%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Adidas AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 90.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.46. Adidas OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Adidas AG's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Adidas AG ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Adidas AG shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Adidas AG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Adidas AG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Adidas AG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Adidas AG ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Adidas AG based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Adidas AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adidas AG ADR from the perspective of Adidas AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Adidas AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 90.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.46.

Adidas AG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 98.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adidas AG to cross-verify your projections.

Adidas AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Adidas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adidas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adidas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Adidas AG price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Adidas AG Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Adidas AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 90.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81, mean absolute percentage error of 40.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adidas OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adidas AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Adidas AG OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Adidas AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Adidas AG's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Adidas AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.78 and 92.85, respectively. We have considered Adidas AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
98.85
90.82
Expected Value
92.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adidas AG otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adidas AG otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.8176
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.8108
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0595
SAESum of the absolute errors354.4578
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Adidas AG ADR historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Adidas AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adidas AG ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adidas AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.8498.85100.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.5199.52101.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
91.7496.25100.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Adidas AG

For every potential investor in Adidas, whether a beginner or expert, Adidas AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adidas OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adidas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adidas AG's price trends.

Adidas AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adidas AG otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adidas AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adidas AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Adidas AG ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Adidas AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Adidas AG's current price.

Adidas AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adidas AG otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adidas AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adidas AG otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adidas AG ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Adidas AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Adidas AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adidas AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adidas otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Adidas OTC Stock Analysis

When running Adidas AG's price analysis, check to measure Adidas AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adidas AG is operating at the current time. Most of Adidas AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adidas AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adidas AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adidas AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.