AllDigital Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ADGL Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AllDigital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. AllDigital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although AllDigital Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of AllDigital Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of AllDigital Holdings fundamentals over time.
At this time, AllDigital Holdings' Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 14.17 this year, although the value of Fixed Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 7.46. . The value of Net Loss is expected to slide to about (1.8 M).
Triple exponential smoothing for AllDigital Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When AllDigital Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in AllDigital Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of AllDigital Holdings.

AllDigital Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AllDigital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AllDigital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AllDigital Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

AllDigital Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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AllDigital Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting AllDigital Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AllDigital Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 0, respectively. We have considered AllDigital Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AllDigital Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AllDigital Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past AllDigital Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older AllDigital Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for AllDigital Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AllDigital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AllDigital Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AllDigital Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AllDigital Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AllDigital Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for AllDigital Holdings

For every potential investor in AllDigital, whether a beginner or expert, AllDigital Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AllDigital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AllDigital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AllDigital Holdings' price trends.

AllDigital Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AllDigital Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AllDigital Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AllDigital Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AllDigital Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AllDigital Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AllDigital Holdings' current price.

AllDigital Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AllDigital Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AllDigital Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AllDigital Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AllDigital Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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When determining whether AllDigital Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze AllDigital Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AllDigital Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AllDigital Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AllDigital Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy AllDigital Stock please use our How to buy in AllDigital Stock guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AllDigital Holdings. If investors know AllDigital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AllDigital Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.58)
Return On Assets
(0.84)
The market value of AllDigital Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AllDigital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AllDigital Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AllDigital Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AllDigital Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AllDigital Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AllDigital Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AllDigital Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AllDigital Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.