Adecco Group Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ADIA Stock   12.30  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Adecco Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.23. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Adecco Group's stock prices and determine the direction of Adecco Group AG's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Adecco Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Adecco Group works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Adecco Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Adecco Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 12.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adecco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adecco Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Adecco Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adecco Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adecco Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0314
MADMean absolute deviation0.2073
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors12.23
When Adecco Group AG prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Adecco Group AG trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Adecco Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Adecco Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adecco Group AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Adecco Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adecco Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adecco Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adecco Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Adecco Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adecco Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adecco Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adecco Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adecco Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Adecco Stock Analysis

When running Adecco Group's price analysis, check to measure Adecco Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adecco Group is operating at the current time. Most of Adecco Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adecco Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adecco Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adecco Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.