ADTRAN Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| ADTN Stock | USD 9.64 0.06 0.63% |
ADTRAN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ADTRAN's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ADTRAN's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ADTRAN fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of ADTRAN's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ADTRAN, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1529 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4725 | Wall Street Target Price 12.6667 |
Using ADTRAN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ADTRAN Inc from the perspective of ADTRAN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ADTRAN using ADTRAN's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ADTRAN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ADTRAN's stock price.
ADTRAN Short Interest
An investor who is long ADTRAN may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ADTRAN and may potentially protect profits, hedge ADTRAN with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.7253 | Short Percent 0.1037 | Short Ratio 6.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.6 M | 50 Day MA 8.521 |
ADTRAN Relative Strength Index
ADTRAN Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ADTRAN's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ADTRAN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ADTRAN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ADTRAN Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ADTRAN's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ADTRAN.
ADTRAN Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
ADTRAN's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ADTRAN Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ADTRAN's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ADTRAN stock will not fluctuate a lot when ADTRAN's options are near their expiration.
ADTRAN after-hype prediction price | USD 9.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ADTRAN to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ADTRAN contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ADTRAN Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ADTRAN trading at USD 9.64, that is roughly USD 0.004097 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ADTRAN's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ADTRAN Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ADTRAN Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ADTRAN's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ADTRAN's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ADTRAN stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ADTRAN's open interest, investors have to compare it to ADTRAN's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ADTRAN is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ADTRAN. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ADTRAN Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ADTRAN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ADTRAN using various technical indicators. When you analyze ADTRAN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 35428.61 | 0.0062 |
| Check ADTRAN Volatility | Backtest ADTRAN | Information Ratio |
ADTRAN Trading Date Momentum
| On January 28 2026 ADTRAN Inc was traded for 9.64 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 9.64 and the lowest listed price was 9.58 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 28, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.62% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare ADTRAN to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for ADTRAN
For every potential investor in ADTRAN, whether a beginner or expert, ADTRAN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ADTRAN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ADTRAN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ADTRAN's price trends.ADTRAN Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ADTRAN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ADTRAN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ADTRAN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ADTRAN Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ADTRAN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ADTRAN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ADTRAN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ADTRAN Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ADTRAN Risk Indicators
The analysis of ADTRAN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ADTRAN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adtran stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.06 | |||
| Variance | 16.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ADTRAN
The number of cover stories for ADTRAN depends on current market conditions and ADTRAN's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ADTRAN is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ADTRAN's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ADTRAN Short Properties
ADTRAN's future price predictability will typically decrease when ADTRAN's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ADTRAN Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ADTRAN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADTRAN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ADTRAN to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ADTRAN listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share (0.95) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.227 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ADTRAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ADTRAN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ADTRAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.