Advantage Solutions Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ADV Stock | USD 1.08 0.05 4.85% |
Advantage Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Advantage Solutions' share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Advantage Solutions, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2324 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.283 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3027 | Wall Street Target Price 2.6667 |
Using Advantage Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advantage Solutions from the perspective of Advantage Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Advantage Solutions using Advantage Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Advantage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Advantage Solutions' stock price.
Advantage Solutions Short Interest
An investor who is long Advantage Solutions may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Advantage Solutions and may potentially protect profits, hedge Advantage Solutions with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.3362 | Short Percent 0.0733 | Short Ratio 8.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.4 M | 50 Day MA 0.9046 |
Advantage Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advantage Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.Advantage Solutions Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Advantage Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Advantage. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Advantage can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Advantage Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Advantage Solutions' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Advantage Solutions.
Advantage Solutions Implied Volatility | 4.52 |
Advantage Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Advantage Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Advantage Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Advantage Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Advantage Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advantage Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Advantage Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 1.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Advantage | Build AI portfolio with Advantage Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Advantage Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Advantage Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Advantage Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Advantage Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Advantage Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Advantage Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Advantage Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Advantage. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Advantage Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Advantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Advantage Solutions Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advantage Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Advantage Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Advantage Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Advantage Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Advantage Solutions | Advantage Solutions Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Advantage Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Advantage Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Advantage Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.14, respectively. We have considered Advantage Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Advantage Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Advantage Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.083 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0031 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0366 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0375 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.23 |
Predictive Modules for Advantage Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advantage Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advantage Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advantage Solutions After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Advantage Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Advantage Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Advantage Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Advantage Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Advantage Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Advantage Solutions' historical news coverage. Advantage Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.07, respectively. We have considered Advantage Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Advantage Solutions is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Advantage Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Advantage Solutions Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Advantage Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advantage Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Advantage Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 5.06 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.08 | 1.01 | 6.48 |
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Advantage Solutions Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Advantage Solutions is traded for 1.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Advantage is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -6.48%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Advantage Solutions is about 3748.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.06. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Advantage Solutions has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.76. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Advantage Solutions had 20:1 split on the 5th of September 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Advantage Solutions to cross-verify your projections.Advantage Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Advantage Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Advantage Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Advantage Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Advantage Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NCMI | National CineMedia | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.00 | (3.74) | 15.70 | |
| BOC | Boston Omaha Corp | (0.49) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.17 | (3.93) | 16.99 | |
| IHRT | iHeartMedia Class A | 0.50 | 10 per month | 3.35 | (0) | 12.38 | (5.90) | 44.17 | |
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.17 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.93 | (5.21) | 15.02 | |
| GTN | Gray Television | (0.49) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.91 | (4.53) | 13.88 | |
| PERI | Perion Network | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.82 | (2.75) | 14.14 | |
| WOW | WideOpenWest | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.92 | (0.49) | 462.61 | |
| AMCX | AMC Networks | (0.49) | 11 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 4.07 | (3.04) | 13.26 | |
| ATEX | Anterix | (0.49) | 5 per month | 2.58 | 0.13 | 7.64 | (4.69) | 20.21 | |
| NEXN | Nexxen International | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.08 | (3.36) | 24.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Advantage Solutions
For every potential investor in Advantage, whether a beginner or expert, Advantage Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Advantage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Advantage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Advantage Solutions' price trends.Advantage Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Advantage Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Advantage Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advantage Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Advantage Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Advantage Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Advantage Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Advantage Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Advantage Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Advantage Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Advantage Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Advantage Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advantage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.9 | |||
| Variance | 23.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Advantage Solutions
The number of cover stories for Advantage Solutions depends on current market conditions and Advantage Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Advantage Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Advantage Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Advantage Solutions Short Properties
Advantage Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Advantage Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Advantage Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Advantage Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advantage Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 321.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 205.2 M |
Additional Tools for Advantage Stock Analysis
When running Advantage Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Advantage Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advantage Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Advantage Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advantage Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advantage Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advantage Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.