National Cinemedia Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 3.04 5.28 7.52 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 4.42 6.66 8.90 Details

4 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 4.41 4.85 5.38 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.0025 -0.0025 -0.0025 Details

National CineMedia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

National CineMedia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

National CineMedia Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.01	2.25	0.00	0.00	8 Events / Month	3 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
6.81	6.81	0.00	1,607   Notes

National CineMedia Hype Timeline

National CineMedia is now traded for 6.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. National is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on National CineMedia is about 1950.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.81. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.65. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National CineMedia recorded a loss per share of 7.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of August 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out National CineMedia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.

National CineMedia Related Hype Analysis

National CineMedia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of National CineMedia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National CineMedia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National CineMedia based on analysis of National CineMedia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for National CineMedia depends on current market conditions and National CineMedia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National CineMedia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National CineMedia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

National CineMedia's future price predictability will typically decrease when National CineMedia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National CineMedia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National CineMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National CineMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running National CineMedia's price analysis, check to measure National CineMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National CineMedia is operating at the current time. Most of National CineMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National CineMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National CineMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National CineMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.