Antelope Enterprise Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AEHL Stock  USD 1.58  0.07  4.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Antelope Enterprise Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.97. Antelope Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Antelope Enterprise's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Antelope Enterprise's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Antelope Enterprise fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Antelope Enterprise's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Antelope Enterprise's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Antelope Enterprise and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Antelope Enterprise's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Antelope Enterprise Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Antelope Enterprise's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.014
Using Antelope Enterprise hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antelope Enterprise Holdings from the perspective of Antelope Enterprise response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Antelope Enterprise Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.97.

Antelope Enterprise after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antelope Enterprise to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Antelope Enterprise's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 17.93 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover is projected to rise to (47.50). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 400.3 K this year, although the value of Net Loss will most likely fall to (233.2 M).

Antelope Enterprise Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Antelope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antelope using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antelope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Antelope Enterprise Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Antelope Enterprise's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2007-09-30
Previous Quarter
M
Current Value
M
Quarterly Volatility
67.1 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Antelope Enterprise is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Antelope Enterprise Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Antelope Enterprise Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Antelope Enterprise Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Antelope Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Antelope Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Antelope Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Antelope EnterpriseAntelope Enterprise Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Antelope Enterprise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Antelope Enterprise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Antelope Enterprise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 23.16, respectively. We have considered Antelope Enterprise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.58
2.65
Expected Value
23.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Antelope Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Antelope Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2723
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3274
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1763
SAESum of the absolute errors19.9735
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Antelope Enterprise Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Antelope Enterprise. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Antelope Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antelope Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.7022.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5822.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Antelope Enterprise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Antelope Enterprise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Antelope Enterprise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Antelope Enterprise.

Other Forecasting Options for Antelope Enterprise

For every potential investor in Antelope, whether a beginner or expert, Antelope Enterprise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Antelope Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Antelope. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Antelope Enterprise's price trends.

Antelope Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Antelope Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Antelope Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antelope Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Antelope Enterprise Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Antelope Enterprise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Antelope Enterprise's current price.

Antelope Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Antelope Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Antelope Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Antelope Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Antelope Enterprise Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Antelope Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of Antelope Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Antelope Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting antelope stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Antelope Enterprise is a strong investment it is important to analyze Antelope Enterprise's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Antelope Enterprise's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Antelope Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antelope Enterprise to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antelope Enterprise. If investors know Antelope will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antelope Enterprise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(31.81)
Revenue Per Share
297.976
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.014
Return On Assets
(0.26)
Return On Equity
(0.52)
The market value of Antelope Enterprise is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antelope that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antelope Enterprise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antelope Enterprise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antelope Enterprise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antelope Enterprise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antelope Enterprise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Antelope Enterprise is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antelope Enterprise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.