Alset Ehome Stock Forward View

AEI Stock  USD 3.07  0.13  4.06%   
Alset Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alset Ehome's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Alset Ehome's share price is at 51. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alset Ehome, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alset Ehome's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alset Ehome International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alset Ehome's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Wall Street Target Price
2.02
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.80)
Using Alset Ehome hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alset Ehome International from the perspective of Alset Ehome response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alset Ehome International on the next trading day is expected to be 2.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.00.

Alset Ehome after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alset Ehome to cross-verify your projections.

Alset Ehome Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alset price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alset using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alset charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Alset Ehome Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Alset Ehome's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
25.6 M
Current Value
25.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
19.9 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Alset Ehome is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Alset Ehome International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Alset Ehome Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alset Ehome International on the next trading day is expected to be 2.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alset Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alset Ehome's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alset Ehome Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alset Ehome  Alset Ehome Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Alset Ehome Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alset Ehome's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alset Ehome's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.13, respectively. We have considered Alset Ehome's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.07
2.98
Expected Value
10.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alset Ehome stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alset Ehome stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.4243
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2131
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0742
SAESum of the absolute errors13.0016
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Alset Ehome International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Alset Ehome. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Alset Ehome

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alset Ehome International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alset Ehome's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.0910.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.589.73
Details

Alset Ehome After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Alset Ehome at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alset Ehome or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alset Ehome, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Alset Ehome Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Alset Ehome's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alset Ehome's historical news coverage. Alset Ehome's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 10.24, respectively. We have considered Alset Ehome's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.07
3.09
After-hype Price
10.24
Upside
Alset Ehome is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alset Ehome International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alset Ehome Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alset Ehome is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alset Ehome backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alset Ehome, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
7.15
  0.02 
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.07
3.09
0.65 
10,214  
Notes

Alset Ehome Hype Timeline

On the 1st of February Alset Ehome International is traded for 3.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Alset is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Alset Ehome is about 71500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.07. The company reported the last year's revenue of 21.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.17 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.39 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alset Ehome to cross-verify your projections.

Alset Ehome Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Alset Ehome's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alset Ehome's future price movements. Getting to know how Alset Ehome's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alset Ehome may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AXRAMREP 0.10 11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.56 (4.09) 13.12 
LODEComstock Mining 0.19 10 per month 5.24  0.02  8.36 (7.81) 25.76 
STHOStar Holdings(0.11)6 per month 2.28 (0.01) 3.91 (2.77) 12.93 
ASPSAltisource Portfolio Solutions(0.13)8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 4.77 (8.48) 19.75 
FSPFranklin Street Properties 0.03 5 per month 0.00 (0.22) 4.04 (4.95) 12.99 
GPMTGranite Point Mortgage(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.69 (3.44) 15.62 
RPTRithm Property Trust 0.04 7 per month 2.14  0.09  3.55 (3.12) 15.63 
BEEPMobile Infrastructure 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.17 (7.25) 18.98 
CHMICherry Hill Mortgage(0.01)7 per month 1.45  0.12  3.52 (2.26) 9.35 
LPALogistic Properties of(0.18)8 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.04 (8.39) 23.65 

Other Forecasting Options for Alset Ehome

For every potential investor in Alset, whether a beginner or expert, Alset Ehome's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alset Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alset. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alset Ehome's price trends.

Alset Ehome Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alset Ehome stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alset Ehome could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alset Ehome by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alset Ehome Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alset Ehome stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alset Ehome shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alset Ehome stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alset Ehome International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alset Ehome Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alset Ehome's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alset Ehome's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alset stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Alset Ehome

The number of cover stories for Alset Ehome depends on current market conditions and Alset Ehome's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alset Ehome is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alset Ehome's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Alset Ehome Short Properties

Alset Ehome's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alset Ehome's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alset Ehome International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alset Ehome's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alset Ehome's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments48.6 M
When determining whether Alset Ehome International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alset Ehome's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alset Ehome International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alset Ehome International Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alset Ehome to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is there potential for Real Estate Management & Development market expansion? Will Alset introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alset Ehome. If investors know Alset will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Alset Ehome listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Earnings Share
(0.56)
Revenue Per Share
0.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.80)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Investors evaluate Alset Ehome International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alset Ehome's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alset Ehome's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alset Ehome's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alset Ehome represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alset Ehome's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.