Comstock Mining Stock Price Prediction
| LODE Stock | USD 0.38 0.04 11.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 26.933 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 2.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) |
Using Comstock Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comstock Mining from the perspective of Comstock Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comstock Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comstock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Comstock Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 0.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Comstock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comstock Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comstock Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Comstock Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comstock Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comstock Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Comstock Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Comstock Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comstock Mining's historical news coverage. Comstock Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.74, respectively. We have considered Comstock Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Comstock Mining is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comstock Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Comstock Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comstock Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comstock Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comstock Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.21 | 9.42 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.38 | 0.32 | 15.79 |
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Comstock Mining Hype Timeline
Comstock Mining is now traded for 0.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Comstock is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -15.79%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.21%. The volatility of related hype on Comstock Mining is about 55663.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.40. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Comstock Mining recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2019. The firm had 1:5 split on the 29th of November 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Comstock Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Comstock Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Comstock Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comstock Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Comstock Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comstock Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEN | New England Realty | 0.25 | 5 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 3.70 | (3.59) | 12.12 | |
| MMI | Marcus Millichap | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 4.32 | (2.59) | 9.67 | |
| MAYS | J W Mays | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.31 | (3.62) | 11.71 | |
| FSV | FirstService Corp | 0.92 | 9 per month | 0.72 | 0.02 | 1.88 | (1.24) | 4.36 | |
| MLP | Maui Land Pineapple | (0.02) | 5 per month | 2.86 | 0.01 | 4.26 | (5.00) | 20.43 | |
| FRPH | Frp Holdings Ord | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 2.20 | (1.94) | 5.60 | |
| TCI | Transcontinental Realty Investors | 0.69 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.60 | (3.18) | 9.83 | |
| HOUS | Anywhere Real Estate | 0.32 | 9 per month | 3.16 | (0.03) | 6.89 | (5.35) | 19.60 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | (0.16) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.05 | 5.18 | (4.18) | 24.53 | |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings | (0.15) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.65 | (9.09) | 26.97 | |
| DUO | Fangdd Network Group | (1.33) | 8 per month | 11.20 | 0.09 | 29.20 | (23.50) | 178.92 | |
| IRS | IRSA Inversiones Y | 0.03 | 6 per month | 1.54 | 0.23 | 4.84 | (2.65) | 16.78 | |
| RMR | RMR Group | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.96 | (1.85) | 10.22 |
Comstock Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Comstock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comstock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comstock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Comstock Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Comstock Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comstock Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comstock Mining based on analysis of Comstock Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comstock Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comstock Mining's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.43 | 5.22 | 4.7 | 3.68 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.2K | 2.2K | 2.0K | 2.1K |
Story Coverage note for Comstock Mining
The number of cover stories for Comstock Mining depends on current market conditions and Comstock Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comstock Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comstock Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Comstock Mining Short Properties
Comstock Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comstock Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comstock Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comstock Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comstock Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Comstock Stock analysis
When running Comstock Mining's price analysis, check to measure Comstock Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comstock Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Comstock Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comstock Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comstock Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comstock Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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