ADDvantage Technologies Pink Sheet Forward View
| AEYGQ Stock | 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ADDvantage Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ADDvantage Technologies Group from the perspective of ADDvantage Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ADDvantage Technologies Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. ADDvantage Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ADDvantage |
ADDvantage Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ADDvantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ADDvantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze ADDvantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ADDvantage Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ADDvantage Technologies Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ADDvantage Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ADDvantage Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ADDvantage Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
ADDvantage Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ADDvantage Technologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ADDvantage Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered ADDvantage Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ADDvantage Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ADDvantage Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.385 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for ADDvantage Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADDvantage Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ADDvantage Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ADDvantage Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ADDvantage Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ADDvantage Technologies.ADDvantage Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of ADDvantage Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ADDvantage Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ADDvantage Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ADDvantage Technologies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ADDvantage Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ADDvantage Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ADDvantage Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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ADDvantage Technologies Hype Timeline
ADDvantage Technologies is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ADDvantage is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ADDvantage Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.ADDvantage Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ADDvantage Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ADDvantage Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how ADDvantage Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ADDvantage Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPEV | Xpeng Inc | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.98 | (6.41) | 16.73 | |
| LI | Li Auto | 0.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.54 | (3.27) | 9.90 | |
| PHM | PulteGroup | 3.51 | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.13 | 5.00 | (2.04) | 9.97 | |
| HMC | Honda Motor Co | 0.17 | 23 per month | 1.38 | (0) | 3.40 | (2.56) | 7.85 | |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | 19.07 | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.16 | 3.00 | (2.32) | 16.26 | |
| WSM | Williams Sonoma | (2.45) | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.05 | 3.85 | (2.99) | 8.17 | |
| NIO | Nio Class A | (0.23) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.59 | (5.45) | 11.98 | |
| STLA | Stellantis NV | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.66 | (4.22) | 30.62 | |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive | (0.92) | 7 per month | 2.85 | 0.01 | 10.70 | (5.22) | 33.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for ADDvantage Technologies
For every potential investor in ADDvantage, whether a beginner or expert, ADDvantage Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ADDvantage Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ADDvantage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ADDvantage Technologies' price trends.ADDvantage Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ADDvantage Technologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ADDvantage Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ADDvantage Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ADDvantage Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ADDvantage Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ADDvantage Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ADDvantage Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ADDvantage Technologies Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for ADDvantage Technologies
The number of cover stories for ADDvantage Technologies depends on current market conditions and ADDvantage Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ADDvantage Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ADDvantage Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for ADDvantage Pink Sheet Analysis
When running ADDvantage Technologies' price analysis, check to measure ADDvantage Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADDvantage Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of ADDvantage Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADDvantage Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADDvantage Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADDvantage Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.