Forafric Global Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AFRIW Stock  USD 1.15  0.02  1.71%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forafric Global PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.38. Forafric Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Forafric Global's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 5.67 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 6.54 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 25.4 M in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Forafric Global is based on an artificially constructed time series of Forafric Global daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Forafric Global 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Forafric Global PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Forafric Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Forafric Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Forafric Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forafric Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Forafric Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Forafric Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 151.52, respectively. We have considered Forafric Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.15
1.19
Expected Value
151.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Forafric Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Forafric Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.0333
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.014
MADMean absolute deviation0.1582
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors8.3825
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Forafric Global PLC 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Forafric Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forafric Global PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.09116.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.81115.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Forafric Global

For every potential investor in Forafric, whether a beginner or expert, Forafric Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Forafric Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Forafric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Forafric Global's price trends.

Forafric Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Forafric Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Forafric Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forafric Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Forafric Global PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Forafric Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Forafric Global's current price.

Forafric Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Forafric Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Forafric Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Forafric Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Forafric Global PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Forafric Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Forafric Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Forafric Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting forafric stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Forafric Stock Analysis

When running Forafric Global's price analysis, check to measure Forafric Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forafric Global is operating at the current time. Most of Forafric Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forafric Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forafric Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forafric Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.