Aferian PLC Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Aferian PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aferian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aferian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aferian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Aferian PLC - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Aferian PLC prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Aferian PLC price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Aferian PLC.

Aferian PLC Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aferian PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.83.

Aferian PLC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Aferian PLC Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Aferian PLC Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aferian PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aferian PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Aferian PLC observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Aferian PLC observations.

Predictive Modules for Aferian PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aferian PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.02 0.33 8.92 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.02 0.32 8.91 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.01 0.01 0.01 Details

Aferian PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Aferian PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aferian PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Aferian PLC Hype Timeline

Aferian PLC is presently traded for 0.33on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. Aferian is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -2.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aferian PLC is about 27522.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.40. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aferian PLC recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aferian PLC to cross-verify your projections.

Aferian PLC Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Aferian PLC

For every potential investor in Aferian, whether a beginner or expert, Aferian PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aferian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aferian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aferian PLC's price trends.

Aferian PLC Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Aferian PLC Market Strength Events

Aferian PLC Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Aferian PLC

Other Macroaxis Stories

Aferian PLC Short Properties

Additional Tools for Aferian Stock Analysis