First Majestic Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

AG Stock  USD 26.23  0.51  1.98%   
First Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Majestic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of First Majestic's share price is above 70 as of 29th of January 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling First, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 77

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Majestic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Majestic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Majestic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Majestic Silver, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Majestic's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.359
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3625
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.7125
Wall Street Target Price
23.75
Using First Majestic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Majestic Silver from the perspective of First Majestic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Majestic using First Majestic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Majestic's stock price.

First Majestic Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in First Majestic's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Majestic stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
11.0566
Short Percent
0.0688
Short Ratio
1.01
Shares Short Prior Month
21.3 M
50 Day MA
16.9126

First Relative Strength Index

First Majestic Silver Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to First Majestic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Majestic Silver. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Majestic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Majestic.

First Majestic Implied Volatility

    
  1.06  
First Majestic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Majestic Silver stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Majestic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Majestic stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Majestic's options are near their expiration.

First Majestic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Majestic to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Majestic Silver will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With First Majestic trading at USD 26.23, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Majestic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Majestic Silver options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 First Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Majestic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Majestic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Majestic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Majestic's open interest, investors have to compare it to First Majestic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Majestic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

First Majestic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
First Majestic Silver has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0729. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which First Majestic is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of First Majestic Silver to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by First Majestic trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check First Majestic VolatilityBacktest First MajesticInformation Ratio  

First Majestic Trading Date Momentum

On January 29 2026 First Majestic Silver was traded for  26.23  at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 26.34  and the lowest recorded bid was listed for  24.42 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 29, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to the current price is 1.94% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare First Majestic to competition

Other Forecasting Options for First Majestic

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Majestic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Majestic's price trends.

First Majestic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Majestic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Majestic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Majestic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Majestic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Majestic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Majestic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Majestic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Majestic Silver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Majestic Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Majestic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Majestic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for First Majestic

The number of cover stories for First Majestic depends on current market conditions and First Majestic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Majestic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Majestic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Majestic Short Properties

First Majestic's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Majestic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Majestic Silver often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Majestic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Majestic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding295.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments252 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Majestic to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Can Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does First have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Majestic. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating First Majestic demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.359
Dividend Share
0.02
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
2.234
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.951
Investors evaluate First Majestic Silver using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Majestic's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Majestic's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that First Majestic's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether First Majestic represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, First Majestic's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.