Aureus Greenway Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| AGH Stock | 3.93 0.26 7.08% |
Aureus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Aureus Greenway's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Aureus Greenway's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
Using Aureus Greenway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aureus Greenway Holdings from the perspective of Aureus Greenway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Aureus Greenway Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.00. Aureus Greenway after-hype prediction price | USD 3.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aureus Greenway to cross-verify your projections. Aureus Greenway Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aureus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aureus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aureus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aureus Greenway Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Aureus Greenway Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aureus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aureus Greenway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aureus Greenway Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aureus Greenway | Aureus Greenway Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aureus Greenway Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aureus Greenway's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aureus Greenway's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 11.21, respectively. We have considered Aureus Greenway's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aureus Greenway stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aureus Greenway stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3279 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0856 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.0003 |
Predictive Modules for Aureus Greenway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aureus Greenway Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aureus Greenway After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aureus Greenway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aureus Greenway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aureus Greenway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aureus Greenway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aureus Greenway's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aureus Greenway's historical news coverage. Aureus Greenway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 11.66, respectively. We have considered Aureus Greenway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aureus Greenway is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aureus Greenway Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aureus Greenway Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aureus Greenway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aureus Greenway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aureus Greenway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 7.87 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.93 | 3.84 | 2.29 |
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Aureus Greenway Hype Timeline
On the 9th of February Aureus Greenway Holdings is traded for 3.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Aureus is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.29%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Aureus Greenway is about 9837.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.94. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aureus Greenway Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aureus Greenway to cross-verify your projections.Aureus Greenway Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aureus Greenway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aureus Greenway's future price movements. Getting to know how Aureus Greenway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aureus Greenway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRON | Tron Inc | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.18 | (9.13) | 37.54 | |
| AOUT | American Outdoor Brands | 0.13 | 10 per month | 2.66 | 0.15 | 4.56 | (3.74) | 16.09 | |
| YTRA | Yatra Online | (0.01) | 5 per month | 4.23 | 0.02 | 7.19 | (6.18) | 21.67 | |
| CHSN | Chanson International Holding | 0.07 | 5 per month | 3.77 | (0.01) | 10.05 | (5.80) | 22.51 | |
| UFI | Unifi Inc | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.80 | (5.47) | 24.16 | |
| NVFY | Nova Lifestyle I | 0.32 | 8 per month | 3.04 | 0.19 | 11.36 | (7.81) | 68.23 | |
| INTG | The Intergroup | 0.35 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.14 | (7.86) | 17.56 | |
| UHG | United Homes Group | (0.1) | 5 per month | 4.01 | 0.12 | 8.89 | (6.94) | 27.36 | |
| QVCGA | QVC Group | 0.23 | 9 per month | 8.86 | 0.03 | 14.97 | (9.85) | 41.44 | |
| LAZR | Luminar Technologies | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 17.05 | (45.02) | 236.06 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aureus Greenway
For every potential investor in Aureus, whether a beginner or expert, Aureus Greenway's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aureus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aureus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aureus Greenway's price trends.Aureus Greenway Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aureus Greenway stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aureus Greenway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aureus Greenway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aureus Greenway Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aureus Greenway stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aureus Greenway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aureus Greenway stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aureus Greenway Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aureus Greenway Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aureus Greenway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aureus Greenway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aureus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.73 | |||
| Variance | 59.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aureus Greenway
The number of cover stories for Aureus Greenway depends on current market conditions and Aureus Greenway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aureus Greenway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aureus Greenway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aureus Greenway Short Properties
Aureus Greenway's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aureus Greenway's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aureus Greenway Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aureus Greenway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aureus Greenway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 463.9 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aureus Greenway to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will Aureus introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aureus Greenway. If investors know Aureus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Aureus Greenway listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Aureus Greenway Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aureus Greenway's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aureus Greenway's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aureus Greenway's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aureus Greenway represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aureus Greenway's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.